Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Mar 3, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction – 3/3/2025


On March 3, 2025, the Houston Rockets will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center. This matchup features two teams on opposite ends of the performance spectrum, with the Thunder boasting a record of 49-12, while the Rockets sit at 37-23.

Oklahoma City enters this game as a significant favorite, currently favored by 10 points, reflecting their strong form of late. The Thunder have won 40 of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance this season. However, they will face a challenge as this game marks a back-to-back performance after a high-scoring victory against the San Antonio Spurs, where they triumphed 146-132. The quick turnaround could hinder their energy levels, potentially impacting their performance.

In contrast, the Houston Rockets are struggling, having lost six consecutive road games. Their most recent outing resulted in a 113-103 loss to the Sacramento Kings. The Rockets' recent form away from home does not inspire confidence, and they will need to find a way to break their slump if they hope to compete.

From a betting perspective, the Rockets have an implied win probability of 19%, while the Thunder's stands at 81%. The Moneyline reflects this disparity, with the Thunder at -500 and the Rockets at +400. Sharp bettors are focusing on Cason Wallace's Points prop, which has gained traction, indicating a potential player to watch as the game unfolds.


Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 111.45 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 125.75


Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets19%10%
Thunder81%90%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.5/-108
50% HOU
BetRivers
-9.5/-112
50% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+330
18% HOU
Caesars
-425
82% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

229.5/-108
12% UN
Fanatics
229.5/-112
88% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
60
Games
60
41.6
FG
37.4
93.2
FGA
86.0
.446
FG%
.435
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.0
35.5
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.342
3Pt%
.335
29.4
2Pt-FG
24.4
57.7
2Pt-FGA
47.3
.510
2Pt%
.516
17.3
FT
18.9
23.2
FTA
24.7
.747
FT%
.768
14.6
ORB
12.0
33.5
DRB
33.5
48.1
TRB
45.4
22.6
AST
24.6
8.5
STL
6.6
5.1
BLK
4.7
14.0
TOV
17.8
19.6
PF
18.2
112.6
PTS
106.6

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
60
Games
60
40.0
FG
44.4
88.2
FGA
92.9
.454
FG%
.478
12.1
3Pt-FG
14.2
34.6
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.349
3Pt%
.364
28.0
2Pt-FG
30.2
53.6
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.522
2Pt%
.560
16.7
FT
16.3
22.3
FTA
19.8
.749
FT%
.823
10.8
ORB
11.1
32.1
DRB
33.6
42.9
TRB
44.7
22.8
AST
26.8
7.9
STL
10.8
6.1
BLK
5.7
14.6
TOV
11.9
19.8
PF
20.5
108.8
PTS
119.4

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
OKC
.512
eFG%
.510
11.9
TOV%
15.5
31.2
RB%
73.7
.186
FT/FGA
.220

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
OKC
.522
eFG%
.554
13.0
TOV%
10.5
75.6
RB%
24.8
.190
FT/FGA
.176

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
60
Games
60
41.9
FG
37.4
94.0
FGA
86.0
.446
FG%
.435
12.3
3Pt-FG
13.0
35.8
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.342
3Pt%
.335
29.7
2Pt-FG
24.4
58.2
2Pt-FGA
47.3
.510
2Pt%
.516
17.4
FT
19.0
23.4
FTA
24.7
.747
FT%
.768
14.7
ORB
12.0
33.8
DRB
33.5
48.5
TRB
45.5
22.8
AST
24.7
8.6
STL
6.6
5.1
BLK
4.7
14.1
TOV
17.8
19.7
PF
18.2
113.6
PTS
106.7

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
60
Games
60
40.4
FG
44.4
88.9
FGA
93.0
.454
FG%
.478
12.2
3Pt-FG
14.2
34.8
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.349
3Pt%
.364
28.2
2Pt-FG
30.2
54.1
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.522
2Pt%
.560
16.9
FT
16.3
22.5
FTA
19.9
.749
FT%
.823
10.9
ORB
11.1
32.4
DRB
33.6
43.3
TRB
44.7
23.0
AST
26.8
8.0
STL
10.8
6.1
BLK
5.7
14.8
TOV
11.9
19.9
PF
20.5
109.8
PTS
119.5

HOU
Analytics
OKC
37
Pythag Wins
50
23
Pythag Losses
10
3.78
Margin Of Victory
12.72
113.6
O Rtg
119.5
109.8
D Rtg
106.7
98.6
Pace
99.7
.249
FTr
.213
.381
3PAr
.420
.545
TS%
.587

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU OKC
HOU OKC
Consensus
+11.0 (-110)
-11.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+11.0 (-108)
-11.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-108)
-9.5 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+12.0 (-115)
-12.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-105)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+12.0 (-108)
-12.0 (-107)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-113)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+11.5 (-115)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+11.5 (-115)
-11.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
HOU OKC
HOU OKC
Consensus
+450
-627
+302
-381
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
+455
-625
+330
-425
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+450
-600
+295
-370
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+440
-590
+285
-360
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+460
-650
+320
-420
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+450
-625
+310
-400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-112)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
229.5 (-112)
229.5 (-108)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
228.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
222.0 (-113)
222.0 (-108)
228.5 (-109)
228.5 (-112)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)
228.5 (-110)
228.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
HOU
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
OKC
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-0-0
2-1-0
ATS W/L/P
2-1-0
107
Avg Score
136.67
105.33
Avg Opp Score
124
3-2-0
Win/Loss/Tie
4-1-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-3-0
111.4
Avg Score
133.6
111
Avg Opp Score
125.2
5-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
8-2-0
3-7-0
ATS W/L/P
5-4-1
108.7
Avg Score
127.6
110.1
Avg Opp Score
116.3
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
12/14/24
HOU
215.0
+191
20
OKC
-5.5
-230
18
12/01/24
OKC
219.0
-119
28
HOU
1.5
+100
33
11/08/24
HOU
221.5
+261
31
OKC
-7.5
-323
31
03/27/24
HOU
226.5
+159
28
OKC
-4.5
-193
17
02/27/24
HOU
234.0
+345
29
OKC
-10.0
-450
28
02/25/24
OKC
234.0
-247
31
HOU
6.5
+200
34
12/06/23
OKC
225.0
-130
22
HOU
2.5
+109
32
02/15/23
HOU
234.5
+347
21
OKC
-9.5
-450
38
02/04/23
HOU
231.0
+360
19
OKC
-10.0
-476
38
02/01/23
OKC
232.5
-227
25
HOU
6.0
+187
34

Houston Rockets

03/01/25
SAC
95.4
+60
10
HOU
-1.7
-72
4
02/26/25
SA
223.4
+235
20
HOU
-6.9
-290
33
02/25/25
MIL
387.1
+209
42
HOU
-4.2
-246
51
02/22/25
HOU
253.3
-346
31
UTA
9.3
+286
32
02/21/25
MIN
74.1
+48
13
HOU
-1.3
-57
16
02/13/25
GS
183.1
-99
23
HOU
1.0
+84
15
02/12/25
PHO
336.2
+506
52
HOU
-15.3
-640
49
02/09/25
TOR
200.9
+247
20
HOU
-7.6
-308
16
02/08/25
HOU
367.4
+205
32
DAL
-4.8
-239
53
02/06/25
HOU
273.1
-129
42
MIN
-1.9
-151
41

Oklahoma City Thunder

03/02/25
OKC
269.5
-901
46
SA
14.7
+624
43
02/28/25
OKC
324.9
-695
53
ATL
14.5
+523
30
02/26/25
OKC
212.6
-1428
28
BKN
16.2
+836
39
02/23/25
OKC
91.0
-146
14
MIN
1.4
+116
4
02/21/25
OKC
77.6
-410
3
UTA
1.7
+249
2
02/13/25
OKC
185.5
-353
19
MIN
6.3
+278
30
02/12/25
MIA
340.0
+892
53
OKC
-21.4
-1302
35
02/10/25
NO
341.1
+1359
29
OKC
-25.6
-2389
48
02/08/25
OKC
395.7
-194
55
MEM
3.9
+165
42
02/07/25
TOR
128.7
+607
14
OKC
-10.4
-1230
20

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