Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Mar 9, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction – 3/9/2025


The Denver Nuggets (41-22) are set to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-12) in what promises to be an exciting Sunday matinee on March 9, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET. This matchup features two divisional rivals, adding an extra layer of intensity as both teams vie for supremacy in the standings.

Oklahoma City comes into this game as a heavy favorite, with the spread currently set at Thunder -8.0. The moneyline reflects this sentiment as well, with the Thunder at -305 and the Nuggets at +255. According to the odds, the Nuggets have an implied win probability of just 27%, while the Thunder boasts a much more favorable 73% chance of victory.

Both teams have been playing well recently, with the Nuggets winning 33 of their last 50 games and the Thunder securing 41 wins in the same span. The Nuggets are coming off a thrilling 149-141 victory over the Phoenix Suns, while the Thunder last defeated the Portland Trail Blazers 107-89, showcasing their defensive prowess.

For those looking to place player prop bets, Chet Holmgren's Points, Rebounds, and Assists market is generating significant interest. It opened at Over 24.5 and has since risen to 25.5, indicating that sharp bettors are leaning towards a productive performance from the young star.

As both teams look to solidify their playoff positions, this game is not only crucial for standings but also for bragging rights in a heated divisional rivalry. Fans and bettors alike will be keenly watching how this contest unfolds at Paycom Center.


Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Denver Nuggets 115.7 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 131.76


Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Nuggets27%9%
Thunder73%91%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.5/-108
57% DEN
-7.5/-112
43% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+250
23% DEN
-310
77% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

242.0/-105
32% UN
242.0/-115
68% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
63
Games
63
45.8
FG
37.5
90.2
FGA
86.4
.508
FG%
.434
12.1
3Pt-FG
12.9
31.7
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.383
3Pt%
.333
33.7
2Pt-FG
24.6
58.5
2Pt-FGA
47.8
.576
2Pt%
.515
17.6
FT
18.8
22.7
FTA
24.4
.776
FT%
.771
11.2
ORB
12.0
34.7
DRB
33.6
45.9
TRB
45.7
31.3
AST
24.3
8.2
STL
6.6
4.7
BLK
4.7
14.3
TOV
17.7
17.6
PF
18.2
121.5
PTS
106.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
63
Games
63
43.1
FG
44.4
92.9
FGA
92.7
.464
FG%
.478
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.3
38.3
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.363
3Pt%
.367
29.2
2Pt-FG
30.1
54.6
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.535
2Pt%
.559
16.2
FT
16.4
20.7
FTA
19.9
.781
FT%
.826
11.6
ORB
10.9
30.6
DRB
33.8
42.2
TRB
44.6
29.2
AST
26.8
8.9
STL
10.8
5.1
BLK
5.7
13.2
TOV
11.9
18.9
PF
20.3
116.3
PTS
119.4

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
OKC
.576
eFG%
.508
12.5
TOV%
15.4
26.8
RB%
73.7
.196
FT/FGA
.218

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
OKC
.539
eFG%
.555
11.5
TOV%
10.5
74.9
RB%
24.4
.174
FT/FGA
.177

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
63
Games
63
45.4
FG
37.5
89.3
FGA
86.4
.508
FG%
.434
12.0
3Pt-FG
12.9
31.4
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.383
3Pt%
.333
33.4
2Pt-FG
24.6
57.9
2Pt-FGA
47.8
.576
2Pt%
.515
17.5
FT
18.8
22.5
FTA
24.4
.776
FT%
.771
11.1
ORB
12.0
34.3
DRB
33.6
45.4
TRB
45.6
31.0
AST
24.3
8.1
STL
6.6
4.7
BLK
4.7
14.2
TOV
17.7
17.4
PF
18.2
120.3
PTS
106.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
63
Games
63
42.7
FG
44.3
92.0
FGA
92.7
.464
FG%
.478
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.3
37.9
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.363
3Pt%
.367
29.0
2Pt-FG
30.1
54.1
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.535
2Pt%
.559
16.0
FT
16.4
20.5
FTA
19.9
.781
FT%
.826
11.5
ORB
10.9
30.3
DRB
33.7
41.8
TRB
44.6
28.9
AST
26.8
8.8
STL
10.8
5.1
BLK
5.7
13.1
TOV
11.9
18.7
PF
20.3
115.2
PTS
119.4

DEN
Analytics
OKC
41
Pythag Wins
52
22
Pythag Losses
11
5.16
Margin Of Victory
12.81
120.3
O Rtg
119.4
115.2
D Rtg
106.6
100.1
Pace
99.9
.252
FTr
.214
.352
3PAr
.420
.606
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN OKC
DEN OKC
Consensus
+6.5 (-107)
-6.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-107)
-7.5 (-113)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-106)
-7.5 (-114)
+7.0 (-106)
-7.0 (-114)
+7.5 (-106)
-7.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DEN OKC
DEN OKC
Consensus
+194
-240
+243
-294
+215
-265
+250
-310
+194
-235
+260
-320
+215
-265
+230
-278
+210
-260
+240
-305
+220
-275
+240
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
242.0 (-110)
242.0 (-110)
242.5 (-108)
242.5 (-111)
241.0 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
242.0 (-115)
242.0 (-105)
242.0 (-110)
242.0 (-110)
242.5 (-112)
242.5 (-108)
243.0 (-109)
243.0 (-112)
243.5 (-109)
243.5 (-112)
241.5 (-110)
241.5 (-110)
242.0 (-110)
242.0 (-110)
243.5 (-105)
243.5 (-115)
242.5 (-105)
242.5 (-115)

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