Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Apr 29, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction, Picks 4/29/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 29, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center
  • Spread: Boston Celtics -10.5 (-110), Miami Heat 10.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 203.5
  • Moneyline: Boston Celtics -510, Miami Heat 400

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 81%
  • Miami Heat - 19%

Projected Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 73%
  • Miami Heat - 27%

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Monday Night matchup, the Boston Celtics (66-19) will take on the Miami Heat (48-39) in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at the Kaseya Center, the home arena of the Heat. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 7:30 PM ET, with the Celtics entering this matchup with a 2-1 series lead.

The Celtics enter this game as massive favorites despite being on the road. The current spread favors the Celtics by 10.5 points, indicating the confidence in their ability to dominate the game. The moneyline for the Celtics is -500, while the moneyline for the Heat is +400. Based on these odds, the Celtics have an implied win probability of 81%, while the Heat have a 19% chance of pulling off an upset.

Both teams have been playing relatively good basketball as of late. The Celtics have won an impressive 38 out of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance throughout the season. The Heat have also had a solid performance, winning 24 out of their last 40 games.

In their most recent meeting, the Celtics emerged victorious over the Heat with a commanding 104-84 victory. This outcome may influence the betting trends for the upcoming game. One player to watch in the prop market is Bam Adebayo, who has been a popular choice for points and rebounds wagers.

Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under in this game, as the prop total for Adebayo's points and rebounds initially opened at Under 31.5 (-110), but has since dropped to 29.5 (-115). This suggests a belief that Adebayo may fall short of the higher total.

With the Celtics' dominant record and recent victory over the Heat, it's no surprise that they are heavily favored in this matchup. However, in the unpredictable world of sports, anything can happen. As basketball fans and sports bettors, we eagerly await the tip-off to see if the Celtics can continue their winning streak or if the Heat can pull off an upset on their home court.

Pick and Prediction: Boston Celtics 108.88 - Miami Heat 100.88

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-10.5/-110
61% BOS
+10.5/-110
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-523
71% BOS
+395
29% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

204.5/-110
8% UN
204.5/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
14
Games
11
41.7
FG
41.0
90.8
FGA
87.8
.459
FG%
.467
18.9
3Pt-FG
14.2
51.1
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.370
3Pt%
.368
22.8
2Pt-FG
26.8
39.6
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.575
2Pt%
.544
19.3
FT
15.0
23.4
FTA
18.6
.823
FT%
.805
10.4
ORB
12.1
32.4
DRB
34.2
42.8
TRB
46.3
25.4
AST
26.0
7.4
STL
7.3
4.9
BLK
5.5
12.0
TOV
16.5
16.4
PF
19.2
121.6
PTS
111.2

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
14
Games
11
42.5
FG
39.9
90.4
FGA
88.6
.470
FG%
.450
12.3
3Pt-FG
14.8
35.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.346
3Pt%
.385
30.2
2Pt-FG
25.1
54.9
2Pt-FGA
50.2
.550
2Pt%
.500
14.1
FT
16.8
18.6
FTA
22.4
.762
FT%
.752
10.3
ORB
10.2
33.0
DRB
32.2
43.3
TRB
42.4
25.4
AST
25.5
7.1
STL
10.5
4.2
BLK
4.2
14.4
TOV
12.8
20.1
PF
17.4
111.4
PTS
111.5

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.564
eFG%
.548
10.6
TOV%
14.6
23.9
RB%
72.7
.212
FT/FGA
.171

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.538
eFG%
.534
12.8
TOV%
11.5
75.9
RB%
23.0
.156
FT/FGA
.190

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
14
Games
11
41.8
FG
41.7
91.0
FGA
89.4
.459
FG%
.467
19.0
3Pt-FG
14.4
51.3
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.370
3Pt%
.368
22.8
2Pt-FG
27.3
39.7
2Pt-FGA
50.2
.575
2Pt%
.544
19.3
FT
15.3
23.5
FTA
19.0
.823
FT%
.805
10.4
ORB
12.3
32.5
DRB
34.8
42.9
TRB
47.1
25.5
AST
26.5
7.4
STL
7.4
4.9
BLK
5.6
12.0
TOV
16.7
16.4
PF
19.5
121.9
PTS
113.2

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
14
Games
11
42.6
FG
40.6
90.6
FGA
90.2
.470
FG%
.450
12.3
3Pt-FG
15.1
35.6
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.346
3Pt%
.385
30.3
2Pt-FG
25.5
55.1
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.550
2Pt%
.500
14.2
FT
17.1
18.6
FTA
22.8
.762
FT%
.752
10.3
ORB
10.4
33.1
DRB
32.8
43.4
TRB
43.1
25.4
AST
26.0
7.2
STL
10.6
4.2
BLK
4.3
14.5
TOV
13.0
20.2
PF
17.7
111.7
PTS
113.5

BOS
Analytics
MIA
11
Pythag Wins
6
3
Pythag Losses
5
10.21
Margin Of Victory
0.27
121.9
O Rtg
113.5
111.7
D Rtg
113.2
97.6
Pace
97.3
.258
FTr
.252
.563
3PAr
.434
.602
TS%
.566

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-109)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-113)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-550
+405
-523
+395
-550
+410
-520
+390
-590
+430
-510
+390
-560
+410
-530
+400
-550
+400
-550
+400
-550
+400
-500
+375
-550
+400
-550
+400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-106)
205.0 (-114)
203.5 (-113)
203.5 (-108)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.5 (-105)
205.5 (-115)