Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Apr 29, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction, Picks 4/29/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 29, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center
  • Spread: Boston Celtics -10.5 (-110), Miami Heat 10.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 203.5
  • Moneyline: Boston Celtics -510, Miami Heat 400

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 81%
  • Miami Heat - 19%

Projected Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 73%
  • Miami Heat - 27%

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Monday Night matchup, the Boston Celtics (66-19) will take on the Miami Heat (48-39) in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at the Kaseya Center, the home arena of the Heat. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 7:30 PM ET, with the Celtics entering this matchup with a 2-1 series lead.

The Celtics enter this game as massive favorites despite being on the road. The current spread favors the Celtics by 10.5 points, indicating the confidence in their ability to dominate the game. The moneyline for the Celtics is -500, while the moneyline for the Heat is +400. Based on these odds, the Celtics have an implied win probability of 81%, while the Heat have a 19% chance of pulling off an upset.

Both teams have been playing relatively good basketball as of late. The Celtics have won an impressive 38 out of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance throughout the season. The Heat have also had a solid performance, winning 24 out of their last 40 games.

In their most recent meeting, the Celtics emerged victorious over the Heat with a commanding 104-84 victory. This outcome may influence the betting trends for the upcoming game. One player to watch in the prop market is Bam Adebayo, who has been a popular choice for points and rebounds wagers.

Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under in this game, as the prop total for Adebayo's points and rebounds initially opened at Under 31.5 (-110), but has since dropped to 29.5 (-115). This suggests a belief that Adebayo may fall short of the higher total.

With the Celtics' dominant record and recent victory over the Heat, it's no surprise that they are heavily favored in this matchup. However, in the unpredictable world of sports, anything can happen. As basketball fans and sports bettors, we eagerly await the tip-off to see if the Celtics can continue their winning streak or if the Heat can pull off an upset on their home court.

Pick and Prediction: Boston Celtics 108.88 - Miami Heat 100.88

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-10.5/-110
61% BOS
+10.5/-110
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-523
71% BOS
+395
29% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

204.5/-110
8% UN
204.5/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
56
Games
54
41.7
FG
41.3
90.5
FGA
89.6
.461
FG%
.461
17.9
3Pt-FG
13.8
48.4
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.369
3Pt%
.358
23.8
2Pt-FG
27.5
42.1
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.566
2Pt%
.539
16.2
FT
14.3
20.3
FTA
18.2
.795
FT%
.784
10.8
ORB
11.1
34.4
DRB
34.6
45.2
TRB
45.7
25.9
AST
26.8
7.2
STL
7.4
5.7
BLK
5.0
11.8
TOV
13.6
16.4
PF
17.6
117.3
PTS
110.7

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
56
Games
54
40.4
FG
39.6
89.8
FGA
87.1
.450
FG%
.455
12.6
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.4
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.346
3Pt%
.360
27.8
2Pt-FG
25.6
53.4
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.520
2Pt%
.531
14.7
FT
16.8
18.5
FTA
21.3
.795
FT%
.789
10.5
ORB
9.7
33.8
DRB
34.4
44.3
TRB
44.1
24.0
AST
26.1
6.8
STL
7.9
4.0
BLK
3.8
13.1
TOV
13.7
18.5
PF
15.9
108.1
PTS
110.0

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.559
eFG%
.538
10.6
TOV%
12.2
24.2
RB%
75.5
.179
FT/FGA
.159

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.520
eFG%
.535
11.8
TOV%
12.4
76.7
RB%
21.9
.164
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
56
Games
54
42.6
FG
42.2
92.4
FGA
91.4
.461
FG%
.461
18.2
3Pt-FG
14.1
49.5
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.369
3Pt%
.358
24.3
2Pt-FG
28.1
43.0
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.566
2Pt%
.539
16.5
FT
14.5
20.8
FTA
18.6
.795
FT%
.784
11.1
ORB
11.4
35.1
DRB
35.3
46.2
TRB
46.6
26.5
AST
27.4
7.4
STL
7.6
5.8
BLK
5.1
12.0
TOV
13.9
16.7
PF
17.9
119.9
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
56
Games
54
41.3
FG
40.4
91.8
FGA
88.9
.450
FG%
.455
12.9
3Pt-FG
14.3
37.2
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.346
3Pt%
.360
28.4
2Pt-FG
26.2
54.5
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.520
2Pt%
.531
15.0
FT
17.1
18.9
FTA
21.7
.795
FT%
.789
10.7
ORB
9.9
34.6
DRB
35.0
45.3
TRB
44.9
24.5
AST
26.6
7.0
STL
8.1
4.1
BLK
3.9
13.4
TOV
14.0
18.9
PF
16.2
110.4
PTS
112.2

BOS
Analytics
MIA
43
Pythag Wins
26
13
Pythag Losses
28
9.27
Margin Of Victory
-0.69
119.9
O Rtg
112.2
110.4
D Rtg
112.9
97.0
Pace
96.5
.225
FTr
.244
.535
3PAr
.445
.590
TS%
.570

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-109)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-113)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-550
+405
-523
+395
-550
+410
-520
+390
-590
+430
-510
+390
-560
+410
-530
+400
-550
+400
-550
+400
-550
+400
-500
+375
-550
+400
-550
+400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-106)
205.0 (-114)
203.5 (-113)
203.5 (-108)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.5 (-105)
205.5 (-115)

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