Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Apr 29, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction, Picks 4/29/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 29, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center
  • Spread: Boston Celtics -10.5 (-110), Miami Heat 10.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 203.5
  • Moneyline: Boston Celtics -510, Miami Heat 400

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 81%
  • Miami Heat - 19%

Projected Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 73%
  • Miami Heat - 27%

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Monday Night matchup, the Boston Celtics (66-19) will take on the Miami Heat (48-39) in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at the Kaseya Center, the home arena of the Heat. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 7:30 PM ET, with the Celtics entering this matchup with a 2-1 series lead.

The Celtics enter this game as massive favorites despite being on the road. The current spread favors the Celtics by 10.5 points, indicating the confidence in their ability to dominate the game. The moneyline for the Celtics is -500, while the moneyline for the Heat is +400. Based on these odds, the Celtics have an implied win probability of 81%, while the Heat have a 19% chance of pulling off an upset.

Both teams have been playing relatively good basketball as of late. The Celtics have won an impressive 38 out of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance throughout the season. The Heat have also had a solid performance, winning 24 out of their last 40 games.

In their most recent meeting, the Celtics emerged victorious over the Heat with a commanding 104-84 victory. This outcome may influence the betting trends for the upcoming game. One player to watch in the prop market is Bam Adebayo, who has been a popular choice for points and rebounds wagers.

Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under in this game, as the prop total for Adebayo's points and rebounds initially opened at Under 31.5 (-110), but has since dropped to 29.5 (-115). This suggests a belief that Adebayo may fall short of the higher total.

With the Celtics' dominant record and recent victory over the Heat, it's no surprise that they are heavily favored in this matchup. However, in the unpredictable world of sports, anything can happen. As basketball fans and sports bettors, we eagerly await the tip-off to see if the Celtics can continue their winning streak or if the Heat can pull off an upset on their home court.

Pick and Prediction: Boston Celtics 108.88 - Miami Heat 100.88

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-10.5/-110
61% BOS
+10.5/-110
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-523
71% BOS
+395
29% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

204.5/-110
8% UN
204.5/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
26
Games
24
41.7
FG
40.6
91.1
FGA
87.9
.458
FG%
.462
19.0
3Pt-FG
13.8
51.1
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.372
3Pt%
.366
22.7
2Pt-FG
26.8
40.0
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.568
2Pt%
.535
17.5
FT
14.6
21.9
FTA
18.2
.796
FT%
.803
10.6
ORB
11.0
34.2
DRB
34.5
44.8
TRB
45.5
26.0
AST
27.0
7.5
STL
7.0
5.5
BLK
5.2
12.1
TOV
15.4
16.4
PF
19.2
119.9
PTS
109.7

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
26
Games
24
41.8
FG
40.0
90.6
FGA
88.4
.461
FG%
.453
12.4
3Pt-FG
14.8
35.4
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.350
3Pt%
.379
29.4
2Pt-FG
25.3
55.2
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.532
2Pt%
.511
13.8
FT
17.9
18.0
FTA
22.9
.771
FT%
.782
10.2
ORB
10.3
34.0
DRB
33.6
44.2
TRB
43.9
24.3
AST
26.4
7.0
STL
9.1
4.0
BLK
3.5
13.5
TOV
12.9
19.3
PF
16.3
109.8
PTS
112.8

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.563
eFG%
.541
10.7
TOV%
13.8
23.7
RB%
75.3
.192
FT/FGA
.166

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.529
eFG%
.537
12.1
TOV%
11.6
77.0
RB%
23.0
.153
FT/FGA
.203

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
26
Games
24
42.0
FG
41.3
91.7
FGA
89.4
.458
FG%
.462
19.1
3Pt-FG
14.1
51.4
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.372
3Pt%
.366
22.9
2Pt-FG
27.2
40.3
2Pt-FGA
50.9
.568
2Pt%
.535
17.6
FT
14.9
22.1
FTA
18.5
.796
FT%
.803
10.6
ORB
11.2
34.4
DRB
35.1
45.1
TRB
46.3
26.2
AST
27.5
7.5
STL
7.1
5.6
BLK
5.3
12.2
TOV
15.6
16.5
PF
19.5
120.7
PTS
111.6

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
26
Games
24
42.0
FG
40.7
91.2
FGA
89.9
.461
FG%
.453
12.5
3Pt-FG
15.0
35.6
3Pt-FGA
39.7
.350
3Pt%
.379
29.6
2Pt-FG
25.7
55.5
2Pt-FGA
50.2
.532
2Pt%
.511
13.9
FT
18.2
18.1
FTA
23.3
.771
FT%
.782
10.3
ORB
10.5
34.2
DRB
34.2
44.5
TRB
44.7
24.5
AST
26.8
7.1
STL
9.2
4.1
BLK
3.6
13.6
TOV
13.1
19.5
PF
16.5
110.5
PTS
114.7

BOS
Analytics
MIA
20
Pythag Wins
14
6
Pythag Losses
10
10.15
Margin Of Victory
3.08
120.7
O Rtg
114.7
110.5
D Rtg
111.6
98.2
Pace
97.1
.241
FTr
.259
.561
3PAr
.442
.595
TS%
.573

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-109)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-113)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-550
+405
-523
+395
-550
+410
-520
+390
-590
+430
-510
+390
-560
+410
-530
+400
-550
+400
-550
+400
-550
+400
-500
+375
-550
+400
-550
+400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-106)
205.0 (-114)
203.5 (-113)
203.5 (-108)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.5 (-105)
205.5 (-115)