Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Apr 29, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction, Picks 4/29/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 29, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center
  • Spread: Boston Celtics -10.5 (-110), Miami Heat 10.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 203.5
  • Moneyline: Boston Celtics -510, Miami Heat 400

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 81%
  • Miami Heat - 19%

Projected Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 73%
  • Miami Heat - 27%

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Monday Night matchup, the Boston Celtics (66-19) will take on the Miami Heat (48-39) in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at the Kaseya Center, the home arena of the Heat. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 7:30 PM ET, with the Celtics entering this matchup with a 2-1 series lead.

The Celtics enter this game as massive favorites despite being on the road. The current spread favors the Celtics by 10.5 points, indicating the confidence in their ability to dominate the game. The moneyline for the Celtics is -500, while the moneyline for the Heat is +400. Based on these odds, the Celtics have an implied win probability of 81%, while the Heat have a 19% chance of pulling off an upset.

Both teams have been playing relatively good basketball as of late. The Celtics have won an impressive 38 out of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance throughout the season. The Heat have also had a solid performance, winning 24 out of their last 40 games.

In their most recent meeting, the Celtics emerged victorious over the Heat with a commanding 104-84 victory. This outcome may influence the betting trends for the upcoming game. One player to watch in the prop market is Bam Adebayo, who has been a popular choice for points and rebounds wagers.

Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under in this game, as the prop total for Adebayo's points and rebounds initially opened at Under 31.5 (-110), but has since dropped to 29.5 (-115). This suggests a belief that Adebayo may fall short of the higher total.

With the Celtics' dominant record and recent victory over the Heat, it's no surprise that they are heavily favored in this matchup. However, in the unpredictable world of sports, anything can happen. As basketball fans and sports bettors, we eagerly await the tip-off to see if the Celtics can continue their winning streak or if the Heat can pull off an upset on their home court.

Pick and Prediction: Boston Celtics 108.88 - Miami Heat 100.88

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-10.5/-110
61% BOS
+10.5/-110
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-523
71% BOS
+395
29% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

204.5/-110
8% UN
204.5/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
41.3
90.0
FGA
88.6
.462
FG%
.466
17.8
3Pt-FG
13.6
48.2
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.368
3Pt%
.360
23.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
41.8
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.571
2Pt%
.545
15.3
FT
13.9
19.1
FTA
17.9
.799
FT%
.776
11.4
ORB
10.7
33.9
DRB
33.9
45.3
TRB
44.7
26.1
AST
26.5
7.2
STL
7.5
5.5
BLK
4.7
11.9
TOV
13.8
15.9
PF
17.0
116.3
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
40.3
FG
40.5
89.4
FGA
87.0
.450
FG%
.465
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.1
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.347
3Pt%
.367
27.4
2Pt-FG
26.8
52.3
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.524
2Pt%
.538
13.8
FT
16.0
17.7
FTA
20.2
.777
FT%
.791
10.7
ORB
9.7
33.0
DRB
33.7
43.7
TRB
43.4
24.0
AST
26.4
6.9
STL
8.1
3.6
BLK
3.8
12.8
TOV
13.6
17.5
PF
15.5
107.2
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.561
eFG%
.543
10.8
TOV%
12.5
25.7
RB%
75.8
.169
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.522
eFG%
.544
11.6
TOV%
12.4
76.0
RB%
22.3
.154
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
43.2
FG
42.3
93.3
FGA
90.9
.462
FG%
.466
18.4
3Pt-FG
14.0
50.0
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.368
3Pt%
.360
24.7
2Pt-FG
28.3
43.3
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.571
2Pt%
.545
15.8
FT
14.3
19.8
FTA
18.4
.799
FT%
.776
11.8
ORB
11.0
35.2
DRB
34.8
47.0
TRB
45.8
27.1
AST
27.2
7.4
STL
7.7
5.7
BLK
4.8
12.3
TOV
14.2
16.5
PF
17.4
120.6
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
41.5
92.7
FGA
89.3
.450
FG%
.465
13.3
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.5
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.347
3Pt%
.367
28.4
2Pt-FG
27.5
54.2
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.524
2Pt%
.538
14.3
FT
16.4
18.3
FTA
20.7
.777
FT%
.791
11.1
ORB
10.0
34.2
DRB
34.5
45.3
TRB
44.5
24.9
AST
27.1
7.2
STL
8.4
3.7
BLK
3.9
13.3
TOV
13.9
18.2
PF
16.0
111.1
PTS
113.5

BOS
Analytics
MIA
62
Pythag Wins
42
20
Pythag Losses
40
9.11
Margin Of Victory
0.56
120.6
O Rtg
113.5
111.1
D Rtg
112.9
95.7
Pace
96.2
.212
FTr
.232
.536
3PAr
.429
.591
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-109)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-113)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-550
+405
-523
+395
-550
+410
-520
+390
-590
+430
-510
+390
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-106)
205.0 (-114)
203.5 (-113)
203.5 (-108)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.5 (-105)
205.5 (-115)

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