Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Apr 29, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction, Picks 4/29/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 29, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center
  • Spread: Boston Celtics -10.5 (-110), Miami Heat 10.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 203.5
  • Moneyline: Boston Celtics -510, Miami Heat 400

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 81%
  • Miami Heat - 19%

Projected Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 73%
  • Miami Heat - 27%

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Monday Night matchup, the Boston Celtics (66-19) will take on the Miami Heat (48-39) in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff series at the Kaseya Center, the home arena of the Heat. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 7:30 PM ET, with the Celtics entering this matchup with a 2-1 series lead.

The Celtics enter this game as massive favorites despite being on the road. The current spread favors the Celtics by 10.5 points, indicating the confidence in their ability to dominate the game. The moneyline for the Celtics is -500, while the moneyline for the Heat is +400. Based on these odds, the Celtics have an implied win probability of 81%, while the Heat have a 19% chance of pulling off an upset.

Both teams have been playing relatively good basketball as of late. The Celtics have won an impressive 38 out of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance throughout the season. The Heat have also had a solid performance, winning 24 out of their last 40 games.

In their most recent meeting, the Celtics emerged victorious over the Heat with a commanding 104-84 victory. This outcome may influence the betting trends for the upcoming game. One player to watch in the prop market is Bam Adebayo, who has been a popular choice for points and rebounds wagers.

Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under in this game, as the prop total for Adebayo's points and rebounds initially opened at Under 31.5 (-110), but has since dropped to 29.5 (-115). This suggests a belief that Adebayo may fall short of the higher total.

With the Celtics' dominant record and recent victory over the Heat, it's no surprise that they are heavily favored in this matchup. However, in the unpredictable world of sports, anything can happen. As basketball fans and sports bettors, we eagerly await the tip-off to see if the Celtics can continue their winning streak or if the Heat can pull off an upset on their home court.

Pick and Prediction: Boston Celtics 108.88 - Miami Heat 100.88

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-10.5/-110
61% BOS
+10.5/-110
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-523
71% BOS
+395
29% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

204.5/-110
8% UN
204.5/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
75
Games
75
41.7
FG
41.2
90.1
FGA
88.5
.463
FG%
.465
17.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
48.5
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.370
3Pt%
.359
23.7
2Pt-FG
27.5
41.6
2Pt-FGA
50.5
.571
2Pt%
.545
15.6
FT
13.8
19.5
FTA
17.7
.800
FT%
.777
11.1
ORB
10.7
33.9
DRB
33.9
45.1
TRB
44.6
26.1
AST
26.5
7.3
STL
7.7
5.5
BLK
4.7
11.8
TOV
13.8
16.1
PF
17.1
116.9
PTS
109.9

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
75
Games
75
40.4
FG
40.0
89.3
FGA
86.3
.452
FG%
.463
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.6
36.9
3Pt-FGA
37.4
.348
3Pt%
.365
27.5
2Pt-FG
26.3
52.4
2Pt-FGA
48.9
.525
2Pt%
.538
14.0
FT
16.1
18.0
FTA
20.3
.779
FT%
.790
10.5
ORB
9.5
33.2
DRB
33.6
43.7
TRB
43.1
23.9
AST
26.3
6.9
STL
8.1
3.6
BLK
3.8
12.9
TOV
13.9
17.9
PF
15.6
107.7
PTS
109.6

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.562
eFG%
.543
10.7
TOV%
12.6
25.1
RB%
75.8
.173
FT/FGA
.156

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.524
eFG%
.542
11.7
TOV%
12.8
76.4
RB%
21.9
.157
FT/FGA
.186

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
75
Games
75
43.0
FG
42.3
93.0
FGA
90.9
.463
FG%
.465
18.5
3Pt-FG
14.0
50.0
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.370
3Pt%
.359
24.5
2Pt-FG
28.3
42.9
2Pt-FGA
51.8
.571
2Pt%
.545
16.1
FT
14.2
20.2
FTA
18.2
.800
FT%
.777
11.5
ORB
11.0
35.0
DRB
34.8
46.5
TRB
45.8
26.9
AST
27.2
7.5
STL
7.9
5.7
BLK
4.8
12.2
TOV
14.2
16.7
PF
17.5
120.6
PTS
112.8

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
75
Games
75
41.7
FG
41.0
92.2
FGA
88.7
.452
FG%
.463
13.3
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.1
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.348
3Pt%
.365
28.4
2Pt-FG
27.0
54.1
2Pt-FGA
50.2
.525
2Pt%
.538
14.5
FT
16.5
18.6
FTA
20.9
.779
FT%
.790
10.8
ORB
9.8
34.3
DRB
34.5
45.1
TRB
44.3
24.7
AST
27.0
7.1
STL
8.3
3.7
BLK
3.9
13.3
TOV
14.3
18.4
PF
16.0
111.2
PTS
112.6

BOS
Analytics
MIA
57
Pythag Wins
37
18
Pythag Losses
38
9.19
Margin Of Victory
-0.25
120.6
O Rtg
112.6
111.2
D Rtg
112.8
96.2
Pace
96.2
.217
FTr
.236
.538
3PAr
.433
.592
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-109)
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-113)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-550
+405
-523
+395
-550
+410
-520
+390
-590
+430
-510
+390
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.0 (-106)
205.0 (-114)
203.5 (-113)
203.5 (-108)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-109)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
203.0 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
202.5 (-110)
205.5 (-105)
205.5 (-115)

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