Tommy McMillen and Alberto Montes meet in a featherweight matchup on the main card of UFC Fight Night on Saturday, July 18, 2026, in Oklahoma City. It is one of the more intriguing fights on the card because both men enter with excellent records, but they have taken very different paths to this stage. McMillen has quickly become one of the UFC’s rising prospects thanks to his size, athletic ability, and aggressive finishing style, while Montes has built his reputation with technical striking, high-level Brazilian jiu-jitsu, and a knack for capitalizing on opponents’ mistakes.
Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes Prediction
- Pick: Tommy McMillen Moneyline (-175)
- Confidence: 3.5/5
- Win Probability: Tommy McMillen 58%, Alberto Montes 42%
This matchup comes down to whether McMillen can dictate the range. The undefeated American owns clear physical advantages, including superior height and reach, and has consistently overwhelmed opponents with pressure and power. His wrestling background also gives him another avenue to win rounds if the striking exchanges become uncomfortable.
Montes is arguably the more polished technician. His striking is cleaner, he manages distance well despite being the shorter fighter, and his submission game is among the better ones in this weight class. Still, McMillen’s combination of size, pace, and finishing ability makes him the rightful favorite. Unless Montes consistently gets the fight into dominant grappling positions, McMillen should control enough of the action to earn either a late stoppage or a decision.
Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes Parlay
- Tommy McMillen Moneyline (-175)
- Under 2.5 Rounds (-265)
- Same Game Parlay: +115
McMillen’s moneyline remains the safest selection. DraftKings has listed him as a favorite, and the market has shown interest in the unbeaten prospect. His combination of size, athleticism, and finishing ability gives him multiple paths to victory, which makes him a strong option for parlay bettors.
The second leg focuses on the finishing ability of both fighters. McMillen has shown knockout power throughout his career, while Montes owns an outstanding submission game and rarely needs many opportunities to find a finish. Both men prefer hunting stoppages instead of managing decisions, making the under 2.5 rounds prop an attractive addition to a same-game parlay. The combined odds provide better value than simply backing the favorite on the moneyline.
Tale of the Tape
| Category | Tommy McMillen | Alberto Montes |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 32 |
| Height | 6’0″ | 5’7″ |
| Reach | 74″ | 69″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Professional Record | 10-0 | 12-1 |
Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes Preview
McMillen enters this fight with plenty of attention after compiling a perfect 10-0 professional record. The former wrestling standout has developed into an exciting offensive fighter who combines relentless pressure with legitimate knockout power. He earned his UFC opportunity through Dana White’s Contender Series before adding another impressive victory inside the Octagon earlier this year. Betting markets have continued to show confidence in the unbeaten prospect throughout fight week.
His biggest strengths are obvious. McMillen is long for the division, throws with bad intentions, and keeps opponents backing up for much of the fight. He has also demonstrated submission ability, making him dangerous regardless of where the contest takes place. The biggest concern is his willingness to exchange wildly. Against experienced opponents, those openings can become costly, particularly against someone with Montes’ submission credentials.
Montes enters with a 12-1 record and perhaps the more complete technical game. He is a decorated grappler with multiple submission victories and has developed into an efficient striker who wastes very little movement. Rather than chasing finishes recklessly, Montes often waits for mistakes before attacking. That patient style has helped him build one of the better records among the newer featherweights.
The challenge for Montes will be overcoming McMillen’s physical advantages. Giving up several inches in both height and reach means he must consistently close distance without absorbing clean power shots. If he can force clinch exchanges or drag McMillen into extended grappling battles, his submission threat immediately becomes a factor.
Expect an entertaining fight that features dangerous moments for both competitors. Montes should have success whenever the action gets inside, but McMillen’s athletic edge, size, and power are likely to make the difference over the course of 3 rounds. The betting value is on McMillen to win, with additional interest in the fight ending inside the distance given the finishing ability each man brings into the Octagon.
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