On Saturday, May 10, 2025, UFC 315 in Montreal will feature a lightweight bout between Benoit Saint Denis and Kyle Prepolec. This matchup emerged after Saint Denis’s original opponent, Joel Alvarez, withdrew due to a hand injury. Prepolec, stepping in on just five days’ notice, returns to the UFC after a previous stint in 2019. This fight presents an opportunity for both fighters to make a statement in the lightweight division.
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Benoit Saint Denis vs Kyle Prepolec Preview
Benoit Saint Denis, known as “God of War,” holds a professional record of 13-3. He previously enjoyed a five-fight win streak, securing finishes over opponents like Matt Frevola, Thiago Moises, and Gabriel Miranda. However, he is currently on a two-fight losing streak, having suffered knockout losses to Dustin Poirier and Renato Moicano. These setbacks have raised questions about his durability and ability to compete at the highest level.
Kyle Prepolec, nicknamed “Killshot,” has a professional record of 18-8. His initial UFC tenure in 2019 resulted in two losses, leading to his release. Since then, he has compiled a 4-1 record outside the organization, with his only loss coming against former UFC fighter Shane Campbell in 2022. Prepolec’s return to the UFC on short notice indicates his eagerness to seize this opportunity and prove himself on the big stage in his home country of Canada.
Betting Insights
According to Sportzino, the betting odds for this main card opener are as follows:
- Benoit Saint Denis: -1200 favorite
- Kyle Prepolec: +775 underdog
The betting odds heavily favor Saint Denis, reflecting his higher ranking and the fact that he has recent experience in UFC. Prepolec’s status as a significant underdog is influenced by his short-notice entry and previous UFC record. Bettors may view Saint Denis as a safer pick, but the high odds offer limited value. Conversely, Prepolec’s long odds could appeal to those seeking a high-risk, high-reward wager.
Benoit Saint Denis vs Kyle Prepolec Prediction
Analyzing the fighters’ recent performances and circumstances, Saint Denis appears to have the advantage. His experience against elite opponents and his aggressive fighting style suggest he can dictate the pace of the fight. Prepolec’s short-notice entry and previous UFC struggles may hinder his performance. Be sure to consider the following when betting on this matchup:
- Experience: Saint Denis has faced higher-caliber opponents, providing him with valuable experience in high-pressure situations.
- Preparation: With a full training camp, Saint Denis is likely to be better prepared physically and strategically.
- Momentum: Despite recent losses, Saint Denis’s prior win streak demonstrates his capability to finish fights decisively.
Considering these factors, the prediction is that Benoit Saint Denis will secure a victory, likely through a finish in the early rounds. Bettors should weigh the low return on a Saint Denis win against the potential for an upset by Prepolec. However, the most probable outcome is a dominant performance by Saint Denis, reaffirming his position in the lightweight division.
