Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction – 4/12/2025

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Betting Preview

On April 12, 2025, the Miami Marlins will host the Washington Nationals at LoanDepot Park for the second game of their series. Both of these teams enter today's play with a record of 6-7. In their last outing, Washington secured a win over Miami, boosting their confidence as they look to continue their momentum against a team that has been underperforming this season.

The starting pitchers for this matchup are Sandy Alcantara for the Marlins and Trevor Williams for the Nationals. Alcantara is regarded as a solid pitcher, ranking as the 19th best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system. He projects to pitch an average of 5.7 innings while allowing only 2.1 earned runs, although he has struggled with hits and walks, allowing an average of 4.9 hits and 1.4 walks. In contrast, Williams continues to struggle, being rated as one of the worst pitchers in MLB. He is projected to allow an average of 2.7 earned runs and 5.3 hits over just 5.1 innings.

The Marlins are favored at a moneyline of -145 and an average implied team total of 4.04 runs, and they remain in a prime position to capitalize on Washington's vulnerabilities. The low Game Total of 7.5 runs reflects the anticipated pitching duel, but favoring Miami’s offense and Alcantara's capabilities could lead to a solid betting opportunity for those looking to back the Marlins.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

Trevor Williams's higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this year (64.4% vs. 51.5% last year) should work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

• A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.

The Washington Nationals bullpen ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Miami Marlins:

In his last GS, Sandy Alcantara was firing on all cylinders and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Washington Nationals 4.06, Miami Marlins 4.47

• Date: April 12, 2025
• Venue: LoanDepot Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Trevor Williams - Nationals
  • Sandy Alcantara - Marlins

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