Seattle Mariners VS Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Preview – 04/07/2024

Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers Overview

• Date: April 7, 2024
• Venue: American Family Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Emerson Hancock - Mariners
  • Colin Rea - Brewers
• Run Line: Mariners 1.5 -190, Brewers -1.5 165
• Money Line: Mariners 100, Brewers -120
• Total (Over/Under):9 -110

Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Seattle Mariners - 48%
• Milwaukee Brewers - 52%

Projected Win %:

• Seattle Mariners - 49.95%
• Milwaukee Brewers - 50.05%

Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers Game Preview & Prediction

In an interleague matchup scheduled for April 7, 2024, the Milwaukee Brewers will be hosting the Seattle Mariners at American Family Field. The Brewers, with a record of 5-2 this season, are having a great start to their campaign, while the Mariners, with a record of 4-5, are off to a somewhat slow start.

The Brewers are projected to start right-handed pitcher Colin Rea, who has been solid so far this season. Rea has started one game, accumulating a 1-0 win/loss record with an impressive 1.80 ERA. However, his 5.52 xFIP suggests that he may have been lucky and could regress in future performances. On the other hand, the Mariners are projected to start right-handed pitcher Emerson Hancock, who has struggled with a 5.06 ERA. Like Rea, Hancock's 6.89 xFIP indicates that he may have been fortunate and could face challenges moving forward.

In terms of offense, the Brewers rank 12th in MLB, while the Mariners rank 29th. The Brewers have a balanced offense, ranking 27th in team batting average but 10th in stolen bases. The Mariners, on the other hand, have struggled to generate offense, ranking 24th in batting average and 18th in stolen bases.

Based on the current odds, the Brewers are favored to win with a moneyline set at -125, giving them an implied win probability of 53%. The Mariners, with a moneyline of +105, have an implied win probability of 47%.

Overall, the Brewers have performed better than the Mariners this season, and their projected win probability is higher. However, baseball is a game of uncertainties, and anything can happen on any given day. It will be an intriguing matchup to see if the Brewers can continue their strong start or if the Mariners can turn things around.

Quick Takes Seattle Mariners:

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Emerson Hancock in the 15th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

When assessing his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 7th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge in today's game.

• Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Game Trends

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 95 games (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+11.16 Units / 14% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.10 Units / 85% ROI)

Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners 5.17 vs Milwaukee Brewers 4.9

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