David Festa projections, stats and prop bet odds for Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox on Sep 20, 2024
David Festa Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 126
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -174
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park.
The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
David Festa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
The 9.1% Barrel% of the Boston Red Sox makes them the #4 team in the league this year by this stat.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts David Festa in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.
It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Boston Red Sox offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.
Projected catcher Christian Vazquez grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The league's 2nd-tallest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Projection For Today's David Festa Earned Runs Prop Bet
David Festa is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in todays game.
David Festa Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -135
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects David Festa in the 88th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.
The Boston Red Sox have 5 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler O'Neill, Trevor Story, Triston Casas, Connor Wong, Wilyer Abreu).
Projected catcher Christian Vazquez grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, David Festa is projected to throw 76 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of the day.
The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.
David Festa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
With a 0.9 gap between David Festa's 10.80 K/9 and his 9.90 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and should see worse results going forward.
Projection For Today's David Festa Strikeouts Prop Bet
David Festa is projected to have 5.2 Strikeouts in todays game.
