New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Preview – 4/26/2024

New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers Overview

• Date: April 26, 2024
• Venue: American Family Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Luis Gil - Yankees
  • Colin Rea - Brewers
• Run Line: Yankees -1.5 135, Brewers 1.5 -155
• Money Line: Yankees -130, Brewers 110
• Total (Over/Under): 8.5

New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• New York Yankees - 54%
• Milwaukee Brewers - 46%

Projected Win %:

• New York Yankees - 58.09%
• Milwaukee Brewers - 41.91%

New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers Game Preview & Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers are set to face off against the New York Yankees on April 26, 2024, at American Family Field. As the home team, the Brewers will have the advantage of playing in familiar territory. This matchup is an Interleague game, adding an exciting twist to the competition.

Both teams are having remarkable seasons so far. The Brewers hold a solid 16-8 record, showcasing their dominance on the field. The Yankees, on the other hand, boast a slightly better record of 17-9, making them a force to be reckoned with.

The Brewers are projected to start right-handed pitcher Colin Rea, who has been a key contributor to their success this season. With a 2-0 win/loss record and an impressive 2.08 ERA, Rea has been a reliable force on the mound. However, it's worth noting that his 4.47 xFIP suggests that he may have been fortunate and could face challenges going forward.

The Yankees will counter with right-handed pitcher Luis Gil, who has also been performing well. With a 1-1 win/loss record and a stellar 2.75 ERA, Gil has shown his ability to dominate opposing batters. However, his 4.07 xFIP indicates that he may have benefited from some luck and could face tougher matchups in the future.

In terms of offensive prowess, the Brewers rank as the fourth-best team in MLB this season, highlighting their ability to consistently produce runs. However, their team batting average of 27th in the league suggests that they rely more on other offensive metrics. The Yankees, on the other hand, rank 11th in MLB, showcasing their solid offensive capabilities.

In terms of bullpens, the Brewers have the advantage, ranking eighth in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. The Yankees sit at 18th, indicating a more average performance from their bullpen.

When analyzing the team's best hitters, the Brewers' standout performer this season has been Gary Sanchez, while the Yankees have relied on the contributions of Jose Trevino. However, over the last seven games, Sanchez has been the Brewers' top hitter, recording two home runs and maintaining a .308 batting average with a 1.203 OPS. Trevino, on the other hand, has recorded five hits, one home run, and a .357 batting average with a 0.971 OPS over the same period.

In terms of the betting odds, the Brewers currently have a moneyline of +110, implying a win probability of 46%. The Yankees, with a moneyline of -130, have a slightly higher implied win probability of 54%.

Taking into account the projected performances of the starting pitchers and the offensive capabilities of both teams, this game is expected to be a closely contested battle. With the Brewers' strong bullpen and home-field advantage, they have a chance to capitalize on their patient approach at the plate against Luis Gil, who struggles with control. However, the Yankees' solid offense and the talent of their starting pitcher provide them with a competitive edge.

Overall, this game promises to be an exciting clash between two teams having great seasons. Baseball fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching to see how the Brewers and Yankees perform in this high-stakes showdown.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Luis Gil will ring up an average of 14.5 outs today.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

Colin Rea has gone to his slider 5.7% more often this year (16.4%) than he did last year (10.7%).

• Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.

Rhys Hoskins is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst of all teams today).

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 98 games (+9.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• Colin Rea has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.20 Units / 46% ROI)

Yankees vs Brewers Prediction: Yankees 5.36 - Brewers 4.25

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.