Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction – 4/12/2025

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Milwaukee Brewers on April 12, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing matchup in the National League. The Brewers enter this game with a record of 8-6, indicating they are having an above-average season. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 7-7. The Diamondbacks are currently projected as heavy favorites, with a moneyline of -170, suggesting an implied team total of 4.77 runs. Conversely, the Brewers are seen as underdogs at +150, with a lower implied total of 3.73 runs.

In their last encounter, the Brewers put forth a strong performance, making this the second game of the series. Arizona’s Corbin Burnes, who is touted as the 37th best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system, will take the mound. While he projects to pitch an average of 5.7 innings, his ability to keep earned runs low at 2.2 is crucial. However, he does struggle with hits allowed, projecting to give up a concerning average of 4.9 hits and 1.7 walks.

Chad Patrick will be the starting pitcher for Milwaukee. Unfortunately for the Brewers, his ranking is among the worst in the league, which could spell trouble against a potent Diamondbacks lineup. Patrick's projections indicate he will allow 2.9 earned runs over 5.1 innings, with a strikingly high average of 5.5 hits.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

Chad Patrick is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.

• This pitcher's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Arizona Diamondbacks:

Corbin Burnes's higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this year (97.9% compared to 92.2% last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

• A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Brewers 3.92, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.91

• Date: April 12, 2025
• Venue: Chase Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Chad Patrick - Brewers
  • Corbin Burnes - D-Backs

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