Los Angeles Dodgers VS Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Preview – 4/5/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Overview

• Date: April 5, 2024
• Venue: Wrigley Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Bobby Miller - Dodgers
  • Kyle Hendricks - Cubs
• Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (-110), Cubs +1.5 (-110)
• Money Line: Dodgers -185, Cubs +154
• Total (Over/Under): 7.5

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Los Angeles Dodgers - 64.91%
• Chicago Cubs - 39.37%

Projected Win %:

• Los Angeles Dodgers - 60.26%
• Chicago Cubs - 39.74%

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Game Preview & Prediction

The Chicago Cubs will host the Los Angeles Dodgers on April 5, 2024, at Wrigley Field. This National League matchup promises an exciting clash between two teams having a great season.

Kyle Hendricks will take the mound for the Chicago Cubs as their projected starting pitcher. Hendricks, a right-handed pitcher, is considered the 164th best starting pitcher in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. He is projected to pitch around 5.7 innings, allowing 2.4 earned runs and striking out 4.3 batters on average. However, he is expected to allow 5.0 hits and 1.9 walks, which could pose a challenge against the powerful Dodgers lineup.

Opposing Hendricks will be Bobby Miller, the projected starting pitcher for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Miller, also a right-handed pitcher, is ranked as the 16th best starting pitcher in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. He is projected to pitch around 6.1 innings, allowing 2.0 earned runs and striking out 6.1 batters on average. However, he is expected to allow 4.9 hits and 2.0 walks.

Both teams boast strong bullpens, with the Cubs ranked 8th and the Dodgers ranked 5th in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. This suggests that the game could remain competitive even after the starting pitchers leave the mound.

Considering the projections, the Dodgers have a slight edge in terms of starting pitching and offensive firepower. However, baseball is a game of uncertainties, and anything can happen on any given day. THE BAT X projects both teams to score very low average runs in this game, but as we know, anything can happen in baseball.

This game marks the beginning of a series between the Cubs and the Dodgers. With both teams having a great season so far, it promises to be an exciting matchup between two National League powerhouses. The Cubs will look to continue their strong start to the season, while the Dodgers aim to extend their winning streak. Be sure to tune in and catch all the action on April 5 at Wrigley Field.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Chris Taylor is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

The best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

• A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Quick Takes Chicago Cubs:

The Chicago Cubs bullpen profiles as the 8th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 away games (+18.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+13.10 Units / 52% ROI)

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 4.04 vs Chicago Cubs 3.06

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