Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Odds & Picks – 6/6/2024

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Details

• Date: June 6, 2024
• Venue: Progressive Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Brady Singer - Royals
  • Tanner Bibee - Guardians

Betting Odds

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians will face off against the Kansas City Royals on June 6, 2024, at Progressive Field. As the home team, the Guardians will look to continue their impressive season with a record of 40-20, while the Royals, as the away team, aim to build on their successful season with a record of 36-26. This American League Central matchup promises an exciting battle on the baseball diamond.

On the mound, the Guardians are projected to start right-handed pitcher Tanner Bibee, who has been a solid contributor this season. According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Bibee is ranked as the 36th best starting pitcher in MLB out of approximately 350 pitchers. With a win/loss record of 4-1 and an ERA of 3.74, Bibee has been a reliable presence for the Guardians.

Opposing Bibee will be Brady Singer, the Royals' right-handed pitcher. Singer has also had a strong season, with a win/loss record of 4-2 and an impressive ERA of 2.63. However, it's worth noting that Singer's 3.32 xFIP suggests that he may have been fortunate this season and could potentially see a decline in performance going forward.

Both teams boast solid offenses, with the Guardians ranking 12th in MLB and the Royals ranking 8th. However, the Guardians have struggled in the power department, ranking last in team home runs, while the Royals excel in stolen bases, ranking 4th in MLB. It will be interesting to see how these offensive strengths and weaknesses play out in the game.

In terms of bullpen strength, the Guardians have the advantage, ranking 3rd in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, while the Royals rank 22nd. A strong bullpen can be a significant factor in determining the outcome of a game, and the Guardians will look to capitalize on this advantage.

Based on the current odds, the Guardians are the betting favorites with a moneyline of -145, implying a win probability of 57%. The Royals, as the underdogs, have a moneyline of +120, with an implied win probability of 43%. The Guardians have a higher implied team total of 4.29 runs compared to the Royals' 3.71 runs.

With the Guardians having a strong season and home-field advantage, they enter the game as the favorites. However, the Royals have shown their ability to compete and will look to challenge the Guardians on their home turf. It's sure to be an exciting matchup between these two teams in the second game of the series.

Quick Takes Kansas City Royals:

Brady Singer was on point in his last start and allowed 1 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

Nick Loftin has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.23 ft/sec to 27.96 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

• Fast players tend to get more hits as they leg out groundballs, more extra base hits, and more stolen bases.

Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Cleveland Guardians:

Tanner Bibee projects to average 17.3 outs in this matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Ramirez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Cleveland Guardians offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

• When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Game Trends

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games (+10.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.54 Units / 14% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Royals 3.86 vs Cleveland Guardians 4.92

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