Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 5/7/2025

On May 7, 2025, the Colorado Rockies are set to host the Detroit Tigers at Coors Field in the first game of their interleague series. The Rockies, struggling this season with a record of 6-28, are coming off a tough loss where they fell 9-3 to the San Francisco Giants on May 4. Meanwhile, the Tigers are riding high with a 22-13 record, having dominated their last game with a 13-1 victory over the Kansas City Royals.

The Rockies will send out Chase Dollander, a right-handed pitcher with a 2-3 record and a troubling ERA of 6.48. Despite this high ERA, projections suggest Dollander has been somewhat unlucky, as his xFIP of 4.08 indicates he could perform better moving forward. In his last start on April 30, Dollander pitched well, allowing just one earned run over six innings, a performance he’ll hope to replicate against a powerful Tigers lineup.

Detroit counters with Jackson Jobe, who has a perfect 2-0 record and a strong ERA of 3.38. However, projections indicate that Jobe may be due for some regression, as his xFIP of 4.91 suggests he has benefited from some good fortune. Jobe’s low strikeout rate of 17.7% could be tested against a Rockies offense that leads MLB in strikeouts, which bodes well for him.

The Rockies' offense ranks 30th in MLB, marked by a lack of power and low batting averages, while the Tigers boast the 6th best offense overall, highlighted by their 5th place rank in home runs. With the Rockies struggling at the plate, this matchup heavily favors the Tigers, who are projected to score 5.39 runs, while Colorado's average implied team total is just 4.11 runs. Given the current trends, the Tigers seem well-positioned to start this series on a strong note.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

The Detroit Tigers bullpen ranks as the best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

Among all SPs, Chase Dollander's fastball velocity of 96.9 mph ranks in the 98th percentile this year.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Jordan Beck has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.8-mph average to last year's 90.2-mph figure.

• Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Trejo in the 1st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Game Trends

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.10 Units / 83% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 34% ROI)

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Detroit Tigers 5.12, Colorado Rockies 4.75

• Date: May 7, 2025
• Venue: Coors Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jackson Jobe - Tigers
  • Chase Dollander - Rockies

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