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Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs finished just one game out of a Wild Card spot in the National League this season, which is terrible luck given how many games the Cubs let slip away last year. Advanced metrics showed the Cubs should have had a way better record than their 83-79 mark in 2023. This year, the Cubs will try and live up to some higher expectations by simply not letting leads get away from them down the stretch in games.
2024 Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
---|---|
DraftKings | 84.5 |
BetMGM | 84.5 |
Chicago Cubs Futures Betting Odds
Standings Data
2023 | |
---|---|
Actual Record | 83-79 |
Run Differential | +96 |
Pythagorean W/L | 91-71 |
BaseRuns Record | 91-71 |
BaseRuns Run Differential | +96 |
Chicago Cubs Picks, Predictions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Yency Almonte, Michael Busch, Shota Imanaga, Hector Neris
Key Departures: Marcus Stroman, Cody Bellinger, Jeimer Candelario
It wasn’t a particularly significant offseason for the Cubs in either direction. They lost Marcus Stroman, who was injured regularly anyway, while their acquisitions will fill some needs without drastically changing the fortunes of this franchise. Perhaps the biggest move made by the Cubs in the offseason came by bringing in a new manager in Craig Counsell, who has had success in Milwaukee before joining his new NL Central club.
Offensive Outlook
The Cubs were very good offensively last year, ranking third in the National League in runs scored and first in the NL Central in that department. They had a very nice offensive nucleus, with weapons like Cody Bellinger, Dansby Swanson, and Ian Happ leading them. But with Bellinger gone this season, who led the team in batting average, home runs, and RBI, someone else is going to have to step up and make up for that lost production.
Pitching Outlook
Chicago was a middle of the pack team from a pitching standpoint in the National League a season ago. Losing Stroman will be interesting, as Stroman was very good when he was healthy in 2023, that just wasn’t often enough to help the Cubs get to the postseason. If the Cubs are going to improve this year, their pitching will have to do the majority of that improvement, as Justin Steele can’t do it all.
Positives & Negatives
There are plenty of positives on this Cubs roster, as their offense should still be very good, while they brought in a very good manager in Counsell. But the loss of Bellinger means some serious uncertainty in the heart of their batting order, while the pitching staff of this team is also a negative in a year that the Cubs hope ends in a postseason berth.
Chicago Cubs Season Win Total Pick & Prediction: Under 84.5
We want to believe that the Cubs are going to have a huge year behind Justin Steele and a very good offense. But the loss of Bellinger and the lack of a quality second starter behind Steele makes it hard to do that. We will take the under for Chicago’s season win total as they should be around .500 again this year due to their lack of roster improvement from last year’s group.