Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction, Odds & Picks – 6/23/2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Details

• Date: June 23, 2024
• Venue: Minute Maid Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Albert Suarez - Orioles
  • Framber Valdez - Astros

Betting Odds

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros (36-40) are set to host the Baltimore Orioles (49-26) in the third game of their series on June 23, 2024, at Minute Maid Park. The Astros are having a below-average season, while the Orioles are enjoying a standout year, currently sitting atop the American League standings.

Houston will turn to Framber Valdez, who will face off against Baltimore's Albert Suarez. Valdez will aim to contain a potent Orioles lineup that ranks 5th in team batting average and 1st in home runs. On the other hand, Suarez will face an Astros offense that leads MLB in team batting average and ranks 4th in home runs, suggesting a high-scoring affair could be on the cards.

The Astros have the best hitter of the past week in Yordan Alvarez, who has been on fire with a .357 batting average, 1 home run, and a .971 OPS over his last 4 games. For the Orioles, Anthony Santander has been even hotter, boasting a .360 batting average, 5 home runs, and an impressive 1.353 OPS over his last 6 games.

Betting markets have the Astros as slight favorites with a moneyline of -130, translating to an implied win probability of 54%. Interestingly, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives the Astros an even higher win probability of 58%. Meanwhile, the Orioles are considered underdogs with a +110 moneyline and an implied win probability of 46%.

The game total is set at 8.5 runs, which aligns with the projections that foresee a high-scoring contest. Houston is expected to score around 5.09 runs, while Baltimore is projected to put up 4.56 runs. Given the offensive firepower and the recent form of key hitters, this matchup promises to be an exciting one.

Game Trends

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games (+14.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+19.80 Units / 24% ROI)

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction

Final Score: Baltimore Orioles 4.56 vs Houston Astros 5.09

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