Oregon State and Fresno State will do battle on Saturday afternoon in college football. Both teams have already taken a loss this season and will look to avoid a second in this matchup of teams that have been linked to a new Pac-12 in the near future. Before the Beavers and Bulldogs do battle in Corvallis, continue reading to get my Fresno State vs Oregon State prediction.
Our Fresno State vs Oregon State Pick
- Pick: Fresno State Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Oregon State Beavers
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 6, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
- Broadcast: The CW
Fresno State vs Oregon State Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Oregon State –2.5 | OSU -130 / Fresno +110 | 45.5 |
Key Storylines
- Oregon State looks to recover at home following a lackluster performance against California in their season opener.
- Fresno State flaunted its running attack and offensive balance in its dominant win over Georgia Southern. That was a nice bounce back performance from the Bulldogs after they lost their season opener to Kansas on the road.
- EJ Warner is going to need to do a better job of avoiding turnovers. He has thrown four interceptions so far this season and more turnovers could prevent Fresno State from getting a win here.
Quarterback Play
Maalik Murphy has logged 244 passing yards, one interception, and a rushing touchdown after his season opener for Oregon State. He completed two-thirds of his passes but Oregon State needs to be more dangerous on offense to avoid an 0-2 start. E.J. Warner has led an aerial attack that has been hurt by four interceptions from Warner. Taking care of the ball will be important for both quarterbacks to help their team get a win.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Oregon State is 0-1 against the spread this season.
- Fresno State is 1-1 ATS through two games.
- Oregon State went over the total in its season opener.
- Fresno State is 1-1 on over/unders through their first two games.
- Oregon State has covered the spread at home in 10 of their last 11 September games against unranked opponents.
- Fresno State is 8-6 against Oregon State all-time but Oregon State has won the only meeting between these teams in the last 20 years.
Fresno State vs Oregon State Model Projection
Score Projection: Fresno State 27 – Oregon State 20
Win Probability: Fresno State 60%, Oregon State 40%
Final Thoughts
Oregon State is the favorite and the bigger name in college football in recent years. But I’m not sold on the Beavers being all that good this year after what we saw from them against Cal. I am going to take Fresno State to win outright on the road as an underdog in this contest. Warner should limit his turnovers and that will help Fresno pass its second big test of its non-conference season.
