Updated February 18, 2026
The Kansas Jayhawks and Oklahoma State Cowboys will meet in Big 12 action on Wednesday night. Kansas took a loss on the road to an elite Iowa State team in their last game, and will try to rebound from that against a struggling Oklahoma State squad. Before this contest begins in Oklahoma, you can keep reading to find my Kansas vs Oklahoma State prediction.
Pick: Kansas Jayhawks -6.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Kansas Jayhawks
Statistic | Kansas Jayhawks | Oklahoma State Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 77.1 | 84.7 |
Points Allowed Per Game | 68.0 | 81.3 |
Team Field Goal % | 47% | 47% |
Rebounds Per Game | 38.8 | 37.7 |
Assists Per Game | 14.7 | 15.4 |
The statistical contrast shows Kansas as a stronger defensive unit, giving up only 68.0 points per game compared to Oklahoma State’s 81.3. That defensive edge, combined with their efficiency on the interior, often allows Kansas to neutralize opponents’ scoring runs. On the other end, Oklahoma State’s offense sits among the higher averages in the conference, but the Cowboys’ defensive struggles could be exposed by a Jayhawks squad that excels at moving the ball and controlling tempo.
Kansas has dominated this series historically, winning the last eight meetings, including recent trips to Stillwater. Against the spread this season, the Jayhawks are strong, holding a 16-9 record so far this year. Oklahoma State is 11-14 against the spread going into Wednesday night.
Score Projection: Kansas 83 – Oklahoma State 76 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Kansas 72%, Oklahoma State 28% ATS PRO
This Big 12 matchup favors Kansas, which has been more consistent this season and possesses a defensive identity that can slow down Oklahoma State’s higher-scoring offense. The Cowboys can put up points, especially in Stillwater, but the Jayhawks’ balance and experience make them the safer spread pick with room to cover. I'm going to lay the points with Bill Self's squad in this one.
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