The final of the 2025 Australian Open is set, as Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev will do battle at Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne. Sinner broke through for his first career major at this tournament last year and will look to repeat as champion this time around. Meanwhile, Zverev is in his third major final and will look to claim his first major title after finishing as the runner-up twice before.
Going into this match, Sinner is listed as a -250 favorite despite Zverev having the head-to-head advantage all-time. Zverev is listed at +205 to win the final. Here, we have broken down this Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev matchup. Continue reading to get our thoughts on the match and to get our best bet for what should be a great finale from what has been an entertaining Australian Open.
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Can Jannik Sinner Grab Second Straight AO Title?
To start his 2024 campaign, Jannik Sinner won the Australian Open in a memorable five-set match over Daniil Medvedev. Sinner had to come back from two sets down to win that match, looking as cool as you’d like down the stretch to complete his comeback. This year, Sinner is back in the final and is looking for a much less suspenseful triumph in the final as he seeks his third career major trophy.
For Sinner, while tennis betting sites have him listed as the favorite here, he knows first-hand that Zverev is not going to be a pushover. The Italian is 2-4 lifetime against his opponent in this championship match. And with Sinner dealing with cramping and physical issues in the semifinals against Ben Shelton and in the round of 16 as well, the world number one is by no means a shoo-in to grab a third major title out of the last five Grand Slam events here.
Sascha Zverev Hoping Third Time Is the Charm In Major Final
Alexander Zverev has appeared in two major finals before, losing in the 2020 US Open final to Dominic Thiem and the 2024 French Open final to Carlos Alcaraz. But Zverev is playing tennis at a very high level coming into the 2025 Australian Open final, having defeated Novak Djokovic in the semifinals, with Djokovic having to retire due to injury in that match. Now Zverev will look to come through and win his first major championship against an opponent he has beaten on big stages before.
Of Zverev’s four wins against Sinner lifetime, two of them have come in hardcourt majors at the 2021 and 2023 US Open. The question with Zverev will always be between his ears in matches like this one, though, as he needs to prove that he can avoid slipping up in big spots. Against a player who is so cool, calm, and collected like Sinner, that task will not get any easier for the German.
Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
Our best bet for Sinner vs Zverev in the Australian Open final is for Jannik Sinner to get the job done and to defend his title at this tournament. This match will be very close throughout with the finest of margins separating the two players. But Sinner’s mental edge should be enough to take down the player in Zverev who may have the physical edge at this point in time.