Liverpool and Arsenal will do battle in the biggest game of the week in the Premier League. Liverpool has won two thrilling games to start their season while Arsenal has dominated its competition thus far. Before these English giants face one another at Anfield, continue reading to get my Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction.
Our Liverpool vs Arsenal Pick
- Pick: Both teams to score
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Liverpool vs Arsenal Match Preview
Liverpool enter this match with an explosive attack. They have scored seven goals across their two victories. But they have conceded four goals in that span and their lack of consistency in defence could cause them problems in their first big test of the season.
Manager Arne Slot reports no new injury concerns going into the match. Virgil van Dijk remains fit and Alexis Mac Allister is back in training. Their backline depth is still slightly thin with Jeremie Frimpong sidelined until after the international break. But this match will come down to how well Liverpool can defend.
Arsenal have kept two clean sheets so far while scoring six goals. Their most recent triumph was a dominant 5-0 win over Leeds. But the Arsenal injury list looms large going into this contest. Bukayo Saka is out for approximately four weeks, Kai Havertz is sidelined long-term after knee surgery, and Martin Ødegaard is doubtful with a shoulder problem. Eberechi Eze is likely to make his debut and could offer a creative spark against the suspect Liverpool defence.
Betting Insights
- Liverpool is at +125 to get the win in this match. Arsenal is +220 and the 90-minute draw is +250.
- Both Teams to Score is -170 going into the match. The No option is +130 for those who see one or both sides keeping a clean sheet.
- The total for this match is set at 2.5 goals and the over is slightly favored at -135.
- These teams played twice in the Premier League last season. They drew in both matches and both teams scored in each of those games.
Liverpool vs Arsenal Model Projection
Score Projection: Liverpool 2 – Arsenal 1
Win Probability: Liverpool 48%, Arsenal 30%, Draw 22%
Final Thoughts
This is going to be a close game in either direction and it is one that will have a huge impact on the title race this season. A win for Arsenal despite all of their injuries would be a statement that they are ready to compete for the long haul. A Liverpool win would not only put some space between them and the Gunners. It would also temper expectations for Arsenal moving forward.
For me, the clearest value lies in backing both teams to score. I think we see at least three total goals in the match. But the defence of Liverpool makes it hard to trust them to keep a clean sheet even if they should ultimately win the match.
