Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 23, 2025

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Pick – 3/23/2025

The Tampa Bay Lightning are set to face the Vegas Golden Knights on March 23, 2025, at 8:00 PM at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. This game features two of the league's top teams, each boasting impressive records and dynamic rosters.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights Game Preview

The Lightning enter the game with a 40-23-5 record, including a 16-15-3 mark on the road. They have been led offensively by right winger Nikita Kucherov, who has accumulated 96 points through 29 goals and 67 assists. Center Jake Guentzel has also been a key contributor, netting 33 goals and adding 31 assists. Defensively, the team has been solid, allowing an average of 2.63 goals per game and maintaining a penalty kill percentage of 82.1%. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a cornerstone, posting a .920 save percentage.

The Golden Knights, with a 40-20-8 record and a formidable 25-7-3 home record, have been dominant at T-Mobile Arena. Center Jack Eichel leads the team with 82 points, comprising 21 goals and 61 assists. Left winger Pavel Dorofeyev has also been impactful, scoring 30 goals and contributing 16 assists. The team's offense is potent, averaging 3.32 goals per game and boasting a power play success rate of 28.9%. Defensively, they allow 2.68 goals per game, with a penalty kill percentage of 76.8%.

Betting Insights

As of the latest available information, the betting odds are as follows:

  • Moneyline: Lightning -105, Golden Knights -115
  • Over/Under: 6.5 goals

These odds suggest a closely contested game, with the Golden Knights being slight favorites, likely due to their strong home performance. Bettors should consider the following factors:

  • Home Advantage: The Golden Knights' impressive home record indicates a significant edge when playing at T-Mobile Arena.
  • Offensive Firepower: Both teams have high-scoring offenses, which could lead to a high-scoring game, making the over on the total goals a consideration.
  • Defensive Metrics: The Lightning's superior penalty kill percentage may provide them with an advantage in special teams situations.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights Prediction

Considering the current form and statistics of both teams, this matchup is expected to be highly competitive. The Golden Knights' strong home record and potent offense give them a slight edge. However, the Lightning's balanced attack and solid defensive play cannot be overlooked.

Given the close nature of the matchup and the betting odds, a prudent approach would be to consider the over on the total goals, anticipating a high-scoring game. Additionally, while the Golden Knights have a slight edge due to home advantage, the Lightning's resilience makes them a viable pick, especially with the slight value on their moneyline.

In conclusion, expect an exciting and closely contested game, with a slight lean towards the Golden Knights securing a narrow victory on home ice.

Be sure to check out all our free NHL picks here.

Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-102
23% TB
-117
77% VEG

Total Pick Consensus

6.0/-130
8% UN
6.0/+110
92% OV

Puckline Pick Consensus

+1.5/-250
79% TB
-1.5/+205
21% VEG

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Goalies
  • Recent Starts
TB
Team Stats
VEG
243
Goals For
236
189
Goals Agst
187
2.83
PP For GM
2.36
.73
PP Goals GM
.70
25.76
PP%
29.70
2.54
PP Agst GM
2.06
.46
PP Agst Goals GM
.50
82.02
PK%
75.69
8.3
PIM GM
5.8
9.0
oPIM GM
6.6
TB
Team Records
VEG
40-25-5
Overall
42-20-8
2-2
Shootout
1-3
4-3
Overtime
2-5
24-8-2
Home
27-7-3
16-17-3
Road
15-13-5
21-13-5
EAS
16-12-4
19-12-0
WES
26-8-4
9-11-0
ATL
10-4-2
12-2-5
MET
6-8-2
8-7-0
CEN
11-4-3
11-5-0
PAC
15-4-1
10-8-5
≤1
11-7-8
24-8-0
≥3
17-9-0
7-3-0
Oct
7-3-1
5-6-2
Nov
8-4-2
8-3-0
Dec
10-2-0
7-8-1
Jan
6-6-3
7-0-1
Feb
4-3-0
6-5-1
Mar
7-2-2
0-0-0
Apr
0-0-0
A. Vasilevskiy
I. Samsonov
10
GP
5
10
GS
5
6-4-0
W-L-T/O
3-1-1
24
Goals Allowed
15
2.54
GAA
2.95
256
Shots Against
160
.906
SV%
.906
1
SO
0
5
Quality Starts
3
.500
QS%
.600
3
Bad Starts
1
92
Goals All.%
92
2.08
Goals Sv Above Avg
1.30

A. Vasilevskiy

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
5/4/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
W5-3 N/A
3
34
31
.912
5/2/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
L0-5 N/A
5
32
27
.844
4/29/22 NYI
Sorokin N/A
W6-4 N/A
4
37
33
.892
4/26/22 CBJ
Merzlikins N/A
W4-1 N/A
1
21
20
.952
4/24/22 FLA
Bobrovsky N/A
W8-4 N/A
4
39
35
.897

I. Samsonov

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
4/29/22 NYR
Georgiev N/A
L2-3 N/A
3
33
30
.909
4/26/22 NYI
Sorokin N/A
L1-4 N/A
4
26
22
.846
4/20/22 VEG
Thompson N/A
L3-4 N/A
4
30
26
.867
4/18/22 COL
Kuemper N/A
W3-2 N/A
2
26
24
.923
4/14/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
L3-7 N/A
4
19
15
.789

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • PuckLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TB VEG
TB VEG
Consensus
+114
-137
-102
-117
+105
-125
-105
-115
+114
-137
-104
-115
Open
Current
Book
TB VEG
TB VEG
Consensus
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+203)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+198)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+190)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-240)
-1.5 (+196)
+1.5 (-240)
-1.5 (+196)
+1.5 (-235)
-1.5 (+195)
+1.5 (-235)
-1.5 (+190)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
6.5 (+114)
6.5 (-140)
6.0 (-112)
6.0 (-108)
6.5 (+114)
6.5 (-135)
6.5 (+110)
6.5 (-130)
6.5 (+114)
6.5 (-140)
6.5 (+114)
6.5 (-140)
6.0 (-109)
6.0 (-112)
6.0 (-109)
6.0 (-112)
6.5 (+110)
6.5 (-130)
6.0 (-130)
6.0 (+110)
6.0 (-110)
6.0 (-110)
6.0 (-115)
6.0 (-105)

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