Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction – 3/25/2025

The Pittsburgh Penguins are set to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Tuesday, March 25, 2025, at 7:00 PM Eastern Time at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons: the Lightning are vying for a top spot in the Atlantic Division, while the Penguins are striving to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning enter this game with a 40-25-5 record, placing them third in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-2 road loss to the Vegas Golden Knights, marking their second consecutive defeat. Despite this, the Lightning have been formidable at home, boasting a 24-8-2 record at Amalie Arena. Offensively, they rank second in the league, averaging 3.47 goals per game, and their defense is solid, allowing 2.7 goals per game, ranking eighth. Their power play is particularly effective, converting 25.76% of opportunities, placing them fifth in the league.

On the other hand, the Pittsburgh Penguins hold a 29-32-11 record, positioning them seventh in the Metropolitan Division. They recently suffered a 4-3 shootout loss to the Florida Panthers. The Penguins have struggled on the road, with an 11-18-6 record. Offensively, they average 2.94 goals per game, ranking 18th, while their defense has been less effective, allowing 3.54 goals per game, placing them 30th. Their power play is a bright spot, converting 24.49% of opportunities, ranking 11th.

Betting Insights

For those interested in wagering on this game, here are some key betting insights:

• Moneyline: Lightning favored at -267.
• Spread: Lightning -1.5.
• Total Goals (Over/Under): 6, with the over being a popular pick.

Recent trends to consider:

• The Lightning have won both previous meetings this season, including a 5-2 victory on January 12.
• The Penguins are 1-4-1 in their last six road games.
• The Lightning have allowed at least four goals in six of their last 10 games.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

Considering the current form and statistics of both teams, the Tampa Bay Lightning appear to have the upper hand in this matchup. Their strong home record and potent offense provide a significant advantage. The Penguins' struggles on the road and defensive vulnerabilities further tilt the scales in favor of the Lightning.

While the Penguins have shown resilience, their inconsistent performance away from home makes it challenging to back them in this contest. The Lightning's ability to capitalize on power play opportunities and their overall offensive prowess suggest they will control the game's tempo.

Therefore, the prediction for this game is a victory for the Tampa Bay Lightning, likely covering the -1.5 spread. Bettors might also consider the over on total goals, given both teams' recent trends and scoring capabilities.

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