Ottawa Senators

Ottawa Senators

Apr 29, 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Game 5 Pick – 4/29/2025

The Toronto Maple Leafs are on the brink of advancing to the second round of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs as they host the Ottawa Senators in Game 5 tonight at Scotiabank Arena. Holding a commanding 3-1 series lead, the Leafs have the opportunity to close out the series on home ice, while the Senators aim to stave off elimination and extend the series.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Game 5 Preview

Toronto has demonstrated dominance throughout the series, securing victories in the first three games, including two overtime wins. The Leafs' offensive prowess has been evident, with key contributions from their top players. Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and William Nylander have been instrumental, combining for multiple points and leading the team's scoring efforts.

On the other hand, the Senators have shown resilience, managing to secure a win in Game 4 to avoid a sweep. Ottawa's young core, led by Brady Tkachuk and Tim Stützle, has displayed potential, but they face a formidable challenge in overcoming Toronto's momentum and depth. To win this series, the Sens will need to win on the road twice, and once at home, starting with this must-win Game 5 matchup.

Betting Insights

  • Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -175, Ottawa Senators +150
  • Over/Under: 5.5 goals
  • Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+145), Senators +1.5 (-175)

Toronto enters Game 5 as the favorite, reflecting their strong performance throughout the series. The over/under is set at 5.5 goals, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game, consistent with the offensive capabilities of both teams.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Game 5 Prediction

Considering Toronto's dominance in the series and their home-ice advantage, the Maple Leafs are well-positioned to secure a victory in Game 5 and advance to the next round. Their offensive depth, combined with solid goaltending, presents a significant challenge for the Senators.

While Ottawa has shown determination, the task of overcoming a 3-1 series deficit against a confident Toronto team is daunting. The Senators will need exceptional performances from their key players and a strong defensive effort to force a Game 6.

  1. Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs to win
  2. Over/Under: Over 5.5 goals
  3. Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5

With the Maple Leafs aiming to capitalize on their momentum and close out the series at home, they are the favorable pick for Game 5. Bettors may also consider the over on total goals, given the offensive talent on both sides.

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NHL picks here.

Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+145
12% OTT
-180
88% TOR

Total Pick Consensus

5.5/-108
12% UN
5.5/-112
88% OV

Puckline Pick Consensus

+1.5/-180
0% OTT
-1.5/+150
0% TOR

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Goalies
  • Recent Starts
OTT
Team Stats
TOR
242
Goals For
267
232
Goals Agst
229
3.28
PP For GM
2.66
.78
PP Goals GM
.66
23.79
PP%
24.77
2.79
PP Agst GM
2.87
.62
PP Agst Goals GM
.63
77.73
PK%
77.87
8.5
PIM GM
8.0
10.0
oPIM GM
7.5
OTT
Team Records
TOR
45-30-7
Overall
52-26-4
1-2
Shootout
1-2
9-5
Overtime
10-2
27-11-3
Home
27-13-1
18-19-4
Road
25-13-3
27-18-5
EAS
33-16-1
18-12-2
WES
19-10-3
14-11-1
ATL
17-8-1
13-7-4
MET
16-8-0
9-6-1
CEN
8-7-1
9-6-1
PAC
11-3-2
22-6-7
≤1
22-4-4
15-16-0
≥3
18-16-0
5-4-0
Oct
6-4-1
5-8-1
Nov
8-3-1
9-3-1
Dec
9-6-0
8-5-2
Jan
7-6-0
2-5-0
Feb
7-1-0
10-3-2
Mar
8-5-2
6-2-1
Apr
7-1-0
L. Ullmark
A. Stolarz
6
GP
8
5
GS
8
2-3-0
W-L-T/O
4-2-2
13
Goals Allowed
19
2.62
GAA
2.38
132
Shots Against
235
.902
SV%
.919
0
SO
0
3
Quality Starts
6
.600
QS%
.750
2
Bad Starts
1
97
Goals All.%
79
0.45
Goals Sv Above Avg
4.94

L. Ullmark

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
5/4/22 CAR
Kochetkov N/A
L2-5 N/A
4
33
29
.879
5/2/22 CAR
Raanta N/A
L1-5 N/A
4
24
20
.833
4/28/22 BUF
Tokarski N/A
W5-0 N/A
0
37
37
1.000
4/26/22 FLA
Bobrovsky N/A
W4-2 N/A
2
21
19
.905
4/23/22 NYR
Shesterkin N/A
W3-1 N/A
1
31
30
.968

A. Stolarz

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
4/29/22 DAL
Oettinger N/A
L2-4 N/A
0
5
5
1.000
4/26/22 SJ
Kahkonen N/A
W5-2 N/A
2
33
31
.939
4/23/22 LA
Quick N/A
L2-4 N/A
3
39
36
.923
4/14/22 TB
Elliott N/A
L3-4 N/A
4
31
27
.871
4/9/22 PHI
Jones N/A
W5-3 N/A
3
33
30
.909

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • PuckLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OTT TOR
OTT TOR
Consensus
+142
-171
+151
-179
+142
-170
+145
-180
+138
-166
+150
-182
Open
Current
Book
OTT TOR
OTT TOR
Consensus
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+154)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+154)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
5.5 (-117)
5.5 (-103)
5.5 (-116)
5.5 (-104)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-112)
5.5 (-108)
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-105)
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-105)
6.0 (-104)
6.0 (-118)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (-103)
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-105)
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-105)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (+100)
6.0 (+105)
6.0 (-140)

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