Tuesday has an NHL betting slate of 11 games to choose from, with our focus centered on the Minnesota Wild’s trip down south to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning. It is an Eastern Conference vs Western Conference matchup between a Lightning team looking for a fourth straight Stanley Cup trip out of the East and a Wild team with dark horse chances to make a Cup run in their own conference.
NHL betting odds have the Lightning as -145 moneyline favorites and the Wild as +125 underdogs in this matchup. The game total is set at six goals, with the over juiced to -125 at the time of writing.
Wild vs Lightning Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Wild Moneyline (+125) |
| ? Recommended Sportsbook Promo: | First Bet on Caesars up to $1,250 |
| ? Promo Code: | ATSBONUSFULL |
This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, January 24, 2023.
Why Bet the Wild:
✅ Minnesota is the better value play in this matchup at plus money with the Lightning juiced all the way to -145 in what should be a closely contested game.
✅ The Wild historically play the Lightning well and haven’t lost in regulation in this matchup since 2017.
✅ Tampa was badly outplayed in the two teams’ meeting in early January. The Wild won 5-1 that day and continued to look like they have the Lightning figured out.
NHL
Minnesota Wild
Tampa Bay Lightning
Team Records
| MIN | Team Records | TB |
|---|---|---|
| 11-3-3 | Overall | 9-6-1 |
| 0-1 | Shootout | 0-1 |
| 1-2 | Overtime | 1-0 |
| 4-2-1 | Home | 6-1-1 |
| 7-1-2 | Road | 3-5-0 |
| 8-1-0 | EAS | 4-2-1 |
| 3-2-3 | WES | 5-4-0 |
| 5-0-0 | ATL | 0-2-0 |
| 3-1-0 | MET | 4-0-1 |
| 1-1-2 | CEN | 3-4-0 |
| 2-1-1 | PAC | 2-0-0 |
| 2-1-3 | ≤1 | 2-2-1 |
| 5-1-0 | ≥3 | 7-2-0 |
| 6-1-2 | Oct | 7-3-0 |
| 5-2-1 | Nov | 2-3-1 |
| 0-0-0 | Dec | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Jan | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Feb | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Mar | 0-0-0 |
| 0-0-0 | Apr | 0-0-0 |
Team Stats
| MIN | Team Stats | TB |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Goals For | 57 |
| 40 | Goals Agst | 45 |
| 3.12 | PP For GM | 3.19 |
| .65 | PP Goals GM | .62 |
| 20.75 | PP% | 19.61 |
| 2.35 | PP Agst GM | 3.31 |
| .53 | PP Agst Goals GM | .69 |
| 77.50 | PK% | 79.25 |
| 6.6 | PIM GM | 10.3 |
| 8.2 | oPIM GM | 10.3 |
Goalies
| M. Fleury | A. Vasilevskiy | |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | GP | 10 |
| 38 | GS | 10 |
| 21-13-3 | W-L-T/O | 6-4-0 |
| 103 | Goals Allowed | 24 |
| 2.76 | GAA | 2.54 |
| 1132 | Shots Against | 256 |
| .909 | SV% | .906 |
| 2 | SO | 1 |
| 23 | Quality Starts | 5 |
| .605 | QS% | .500 |
| 8 | Bad Starts | 3 |
| 96 | Goals All.% | 92 |
| 4.32 | Goals Sv Above Avg | 2.08 |
Recent Starts
| Date | Opp | W/L | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/4/22 STL | Husso ML N/A | W6-2 TOTAL N/A | 2 | 34 | 32 | .941 |
| 5/2/22 STL | Husso ML N/A | L0-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 31 | 27 | .871 |
| 4/29/22 COL | Francouz ML N/A | W4-1 TOTAL N/A | 1 | 28 | 27 | .964 |
| 4/26/22 ARI | Vejmelka ML N/A | L3-5 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 25 | 21 | .840 |
| 4/24/22 NAS | Rittich ML N/A | W5-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 25 | 21 | .840 |
| Date | Opp | W/L | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/4/22 TOR | Campbell ML N/A | W5-3 TOTAL N/A | 3 | 34 | 31 | .912 |
| 5/2/22 TOR | Campbell ML N/A | L0-5 TOTAL N/A | 5 | 32 | 27 | .844 |
| 4/29/22 NYI | Sorokin ML N/A | W6-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 37 | 33 | .892 |
| 4/26/22 CBJ | Merzlikins ML N/A | W4-1 TOTAL N/A | 1 | 21 | 20 | .952 |
| 4/24/22 FLA | Bobrovsky ML N/A | W8-4 TOTAL N/A | 4 | 39 | 35 | .897 |
Betting Trends
| MIN | Betting Trends | TB |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 3 | Avg Score | 3.67 |
| 4 | Avg Opp Score | 4.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 3 | Avg Score | 5.33 |
| 4 | Avg Opp Score | 3.33 |
| MIN | Betting Trends | TB |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 2.8 | Avg Score | 3.8 |
| 2.8 | Avg Opp Score | 3.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 3 | Avg Score | 4.4 |
| 3.4 | Avg Opp Score | 2.4 |
| MIN | Betting Trends | TB |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 3.2 | Avg Score | 3.7 |
| 3 | Avg Opp Score | 3.3 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
| 3.5 | Avg Score | 4.3 |
| 3.2 | Avg Opp Score | 2.2 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Minnesota Wild
The Wild head to Tampa Bay well rested on their road trip but facing a tough opponent as they look to get back in the win column. Losses to the Carolina Hurricanes and Florida Panthers moved the team to 1-2 on their current road swing.
Defense was the issue on the weekend for the Wild, who struggled to keep the puck out of the net and conceded five goals in both losses. Giving up five goal games is a rarity for the Wild, who average 2.9 goals allowed per game so the hope is there for a quick return to more defensively sound hockey.
Staying out of the penalty box is a major key to the game for the Wild. They are 10-3-1 when they commit fewer penalties than their opponent and are facing a Lightning unit that is the second best power play in the league.
Minnesota had two days rest for this one, which is a good omen for the Wild. The team is 15-7 in their last 22 games played on two games rest.
Marc-Andre Fleury is the expected starter in goal for the Wild. The veteran netminder gave up five goals to the Hurricanes in his last start but is well rested after last playing on January 19. Fleury is 14-9-3 this season with a .902 save percentage and 2.94 goals against average.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay returns to home sweet home to take on the Wild after a five game road trip that ended with back to back losses. The Lightning’s trip to Alberta unraveled their road trip as the Edmonton Oilers and Calgary Flames both outgunned Tampa after they opened the road trip with three straight wins.
Playing at home has been the driving force to the Lightning’s success this season. On the road, Tampa is barely over .500 with a 12-11 record. At home, they are one of the best teams in the NHL with 17 wins and just five losses. The Lightning’s matchup with the Wild on Tuesday night is also an opportunity for them to extend their current home win streak to 10 games.
Special teams could be an advantage for the Lightning against the Wild. Tampa’s 42 powerplay goals this season give them one of the best units in the league and are matched up nicely against an average Wild penalty kill that ranks 16th.
Andrei Vasilevskiy is once again the expected starter for the Lightning. The Tampa number one netminder gave up four goals in back to back losses to Edmonton and Calgary but is looking to get back on track now that his team is back on their beloved home ice. Vasilevskiy is 20-12-1 this season with a save percentage of .916.
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