For the second time within the span of a week, the United States and Canada will do battle on the ice. This time, it will be for the championship in the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off, as these teams finished with the best records in the round-robin phase of the tournament. After a heated battle in Quebec on Saturday, the rematch will take place in Boston, with the Americans entering as slight favorites with the title on the line.
Below, you can find our breakdown of what should be another memorable Canada vs USA matchup. Along with our keys to the game, you can find our best bet for this contest, one that could feature more fights after the fists flew at the beginning of their first meeting in this tournament.
Canada vs USA Betting Odds
| Canada | USA | |
| Moneyline | -105 | -114 |
| Puckline | +1.5 (-280) | -1.5 (+220) |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-110) | Under 5.5 (-110) |
Canada Looks to Turn Tables On Team USA
Canada got off to a sluggish start in the 4 Nations Face-Off, needing overtime to beat Sweden in their opener before losing 3-1 to the USA in their second outing. But they did more than enough to secure their passage to the final, beating up on Finland to get to five points in three games and finish in second place in the round-robin stage. Now Canada will look for revenge against the United States, who beat them in Canada on Saturday.
For Canada, doing a better job of creating scoring chances will be the key to this championship game. The Canadians dominated the puck for the most part in Saturday’s loss to the Americans. But they only mustered three more shots than the USA despite all of that possession. If Canada can be more clinical with their possession this time around, they could very well lift the trophy at the end of Thursday’s game.
Can USA Complete Sweep Of Canada?
The United States didn’t need the final round-robin game of their 4 Nations Face-Off campaign to make it to the final of the tournament. They won their first two games in regulation, defeating Finland 6-1 and defeating Canada 3-1, with both of those wins coming in regulation. As a result, they were locked into a championship matchup with Canada as soon as Canada beat Finland in regulation on Monday afternoon in Boston.
If the United States wants to beat Canada for the second time in a week and win this tournament, they will need to do two things above all else. First, they will need to avoid getting sucked into fights and emotions that could lead to foolish penalty minutes. They will also need to find a way to get the puck out of their defensive zone more consistently and get on the front foot to put pressure on a suspect Canadian defense and goaltender. Should they check those boxes, the USA could celebrate a sweep of Canada and a championship on American soil.
Canada vs USA Prediction
USA ML (-112) over Canada
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- Team USA has allowed just two goals in two games at the start of this tournament.
- The United States shut down the Canadians despite Canada controlling the puck for the majority of their first matchup in this tournament.
