Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick – 3/17/2025

The Toronto Maple Leafs are set to host the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, March 17, 2025, with the puck dropping at 7:30 p.m. ET. Both teams are eager to reverse recent downturns and secure a crucial victory as the regular season progresses.

Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Game Preview

The Calgary Flames enter this contest with a 30-24-11 record, placing them fifth in the Pacific Division with 71 points. Their recent form has been concerning, with six losses in their last eight games. After a challenging six-game road trip, the Flames returned home to secure a narrow 1-0 victory over the Montreal Canadiens but subsequently suffered defeats against the Vancouver Canucks and Colorado Avalanche. Offensively, the Flames have struggled, averaging 2.55 goals per game, ranking them 32nd in the league. Jonathan Huberdeau leads the team with 49 points (25 goals, 24 assists), while Nazem Kadri follows closely with 48 points (23 goals, 25 assists). In goal, Dustin Wolf is expected to start, boasting a 22-13-5 record, a 2.54 goals-against average (GAA), and a .914 save percentage this season.

The Toronto Maple Leafs hold a 39-24-3 record, positioning them third in the Atlantic Division with 81 points. However, they have encountered a rough patch, losing five of their last six games, including recent home defeats to the Florida Panthers and Ottawa Senators. The Maple Leafs have been more productive offensively, averaging 3.17 goals per game, placing them 11th in the league. Mitch Marner leads the team with 80 points (21 goals, 59 assists), supported by William Nylander with 68 points (37 goals, 31 assists). Goaltender Anthony Stolarz is anticipated to start, carrying a 13-8-3 record, a 2.39 GAA, and a .918 save percentage this season.

Betting Insights

For bettors analyzing this matchup, several factors stand out:

• Moneyline: The Maple Leafs are favored at home with odds of -218, while the Flames are underdogs at +180.
• Over/Under: The total goals line is set at 5.5. Notably, six of the Flames' last seven road games have gone under this total, and each of the Maple Leafs' last four home games against Pacific Division opponents has also gone under.
• Head-to-Head: Toronto has dominated recent meetings, winning the last five encounters against Calgary, including a 6-3 victory earlier this season.

These trends suggest a potential low-scoring game, with the Maple Leafs holding a historical advantage over the Flames.

Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

Considering the current form and statistical analysis, the Toronto Maple Leafs appear poised to secure a victory in this matchup. Despite recent struggles, their offensive capabilities, led by Marner and Nylander, provide a significant edge over the Flames' less potent attack. Additionally, Toronto's home advantage and historical dominance in this fixture further bolster their prospects. While both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, the Maple Leafs' superior scoring depth and the Flames' recent road difficulties suggest that Toronto will emerge victorious. Bettors might also consider the under on the total goals line, given the recent trends favoring lower-scoring games for both teams.