Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys

Nov 3, 2024

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons
  • Overview
  • Props

Rico Dowdle Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Rico Dowdle projections and prop bets for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys on Dec 22, 2024

Rico Dowdle Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 11.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 11.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Cowboys may pass less in this game (and call more carries) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: most in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year.

Rico Dowdle profiles as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching just 78.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.

Rico Dowdle's receiving efficiency has declined this year, notching just 5.05 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.44 rate last year.

Rico Dowdle's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, accumulating a measly 6.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 10.00 rate last season.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 10th-fewest in the league.

Projection For Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Rico Dowdle is projected to have 24.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Rico Dowdle Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 74.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 74.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 61.1 per game on average).

The model projects Rico Dowdle to garner 17.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Rico Dowdle has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (62.0) this season than he did last season (23.0).

This year, the fierce Buccaneers run defense has conceded a measly 4.72 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 25th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Cowboys may pass less in this game (and call more carries) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.

The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 4th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Projection For Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Rico Dowdle is projected to have 68.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+250
-
+260
Consensus
-
+600
-
+600
Consensus
-
+420
-
+500
Consensus
-168
+133
-229
+134
Consensus
-
+500
-
+480
Consensus
-
+310
-
+310
Consensus
-
+750
-
+650
-
+280
-
+250
-
+800
-
+800
-
+550
-
+470
-
+115
-
+140
-
+480
-
+470
-
+300
-
+260
-
+650
-
+700
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
13
12
11
13
12
11
13
12
11
13
12
11
Consensus
-
-124
-124
-
-103
-103
-
-110
-124
-
-118
-103
-
-120
-125
-
-120
-105
-
-110
-125
-
-115
-105
-
-105
-
-
+100
-
-
-122
-
-
-115
-
-120
-130
-
-110
-105
-
-115
-130
-
-115
-105
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
9
10
11
41
45
46
40
42
38
44
39
43
49
11
9
10
38
41
46
39
45
40
44
42
43
49
9
10
11
41
45
46
40
42
38
44
39
43
49
11
9
10
38
41
46
39
45
40
44
42
43
49
Consensus
-122
-108
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-106
-122
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-122
-106
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-108
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-114
-109
-
-115
-113
-114
-
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-112
-113
-116
-
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-116
-
-114
-111
-114
-
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-118
-
-112
-113
-116
-
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-129
-129
-115
-115
-125
-123
-
-
-
-
-
-
-109
-119
-106
-
-109
-119
-109
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-133
-135
-115
-115
-115
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-119
-119
-101
-
-119
-119
-111
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-
-115
-110
-115
-125
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-
-110
-115
-110
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-110
-120
-120
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-120
-110
-
-118
-108
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-108
-122
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-106
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-106
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-115
-110
-115
-120
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-120
-115
-110
-120
-
-120
-
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-120
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-110
-115
-120
-
-120
-
-
-
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3833
+3966
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
11
10
12
10
11
12
11
10
12
10
11
12
Consensus
-107
-115
-
-109
+100
-
-110
-118
-
-112
+107
-
-150
-115
-
-110
+110
-
-135
-120
-
+100
+115
-
-106
-120
-102
-108
-122
-128
-106
-120
-114
-108
-122
-114
-150
-120
+105
-115
-110
-135
-115
-115
+105
-110
+110
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
11
10
11
12
10
12
11
10
11
12
10
Consensus
-111
-113
-120
-118
-125
-109
-107
-115
-120
-112
-123
-109
-109
-113
-123
-115
-125
-111
-109
-119
-123
-121
-125
-111
-110
-115
-120
-125
-125
-110
-110
-110
-120
-110
-125
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
3
3
3
Consensus
+120
-130
+103
+105
-101
-103
-121
-113
-135
-120
+100
-120
+105
+110
-115
+100
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+880
+940
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+19000
+18000
+15000
+19000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
16
19
21
15
14
17
16
19
15
21
14
17
16
19
21
15
14
17
16
19
15
21
14
Consensus
-111
-114
-114
-
-114
-
-115
-115
-114
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-115
-
-116
-
-116
-115
-111
-113
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-119
-119
-113
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-121
-
-115
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-113
-114
-113
-
-114
-
-110
-114
-
-113
-114
-
-110
-114
-114
-
-114
-115
-120
-120
-
-120
-
-120
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-110
-110
-
-
-
-115
-
-105
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-130
-
-
-105
-
+100
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-140
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
59
66
60
61
64
65
63
62
67
57
58
71
59
64
61
62
63
60
65
67
58
71
57
66
59
66
60
61
64
65
63
62
67
57
58
71
59
64
61
62
63
60
65
67
58
71
57
66
Consensus
-
-120
-117
-113
-123
-119
-112
-120
-118
-120
-
-
-
-110
-115
-112
-118
-112
-118
-112
-
-
-112
-112
-
-120
-120
-118
-120
-115
-112
-120
-123
-120
-
-
-
-112
-113
-112
-118
-112
-115
-115
-
-
-112
-113
-
-125
-125
-125
-119
-119
-
-125
-125
-125
-
-
-
-109
-109
-109
-
-109
-115
-109
-
-
-109
-109
-
-125
-125
-125
-125
-119
-
-125
-125
-125
-
-
-
-115
-109
-109
-
-109
-115
-109
-
-
-109
-109
-115
-113
-114
-113
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-113
-113
-115
-
-113
-115
-113
-
-113
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-115
-114
-115
-115
-114
-
-
-
-115
-
-114
-113
-114
-
-114
-114
-113
-
-113
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-120
-115
-115
-110
-
-115
-110
-115
-
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-115
-110
-110
-120
-110
-120
-120
-
-110
-120
-115
-
-120
-120
-115
-120
-115
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-115