Nico Collins projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans on Dec 25, 2024
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: -125
- Receptions 6.5 under: -104
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 64.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
In this contest, Nico Collins is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among wide receivers with 10.9 targets.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Texans to call the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year.
Nico Collins's 66.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 71.9% rate.
This year, the imposing Ravens defense has given up a paltry 62.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.
Projection For Nico Collins Receptions Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 6.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 89.5 over: -135
- Receiving Yards 89.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 64.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
In this contest, Nico Collins is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among wide receivers with 10.9 targets.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Texans to call the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year.
Nico Collins's 66.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 71.9% rate.
Nico Collins's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, notching a mere 9.51 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 11.04 figure last year.
Nico Collins's 5.68 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteworthy reduction in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 6.8% mark.
Projection For Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 93.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
