Nico Collins projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans on Nov 24, 2024
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: -110
- Receptions 5.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Houston Texans to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Nico Collins to accumulate 8.5 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
Nico Collins is positioned as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an excellent 5.9 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Texans are an enormous 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 29.0 per game) this year.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
This year, the formidable Tennessee Titans defense has given up a puny 62.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best rate in football.
Projection For Nico Collins Receptions Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 5.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 71.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 71.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Houston Texans to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Nico Collins to accumulate 8.5 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
Nico Collins has notched quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (90.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Texans are an enormous 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 29.0 per game) this year.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 119.0) to wideouts this year.
Projection For Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 83.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
