Nico Collins projections and prop bets for Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs on Jan 18, 2025
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: 110
- Receptions 6.5 under: -143
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Nico Collins to accrue 10.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Projection For Nico Collins Receptions Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 79.5 over: -125
- Receiving Yards 79.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Nico Collins to accrue 10.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Projection For Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 80.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
