Najee Harris projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns on Nov 21, 2024
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 17.5 over: -104
- Carries 17.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Steelers to run on 55.2% of their plays: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast Najee Harris to garner 22.8 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Najee Harris Carries Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 20.6 Carries in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 67.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 67.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Steelers to run on 55.2% of their plays: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
Najee Harris's 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a significant growth in his rushing ability over last season's 59.0 figure.
This year, the strong Cleveland Browns run defense has yielded a mere 4.83 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 24th-best rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 88.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: 100
- Receptions 1.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
Najee Harris's 15.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 10.0.
The Browns pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.9%) to running backs this year (88.9%).
The Browns linebackers project as the 5th-worst LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 44.8% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Najee Harris's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 84.7% to 76.8%.
Projection For Najee Harris Receptions Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 1.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 8.5 over: -104
- Receiving Yards 8.5 under: -122
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
Najee Harris's 15.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 10.0.
Najee Harris has posted many more adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).
Najee Harris's 6.6 adjusted yards per target this year indicates an impressive boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 5.3 figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 44.8% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
In divvying up his offense's air yards this year, Najee Harris only accounts for a meager -1.2%, putting him in the 25th percentile among running backs.
Najee Harris's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 84.7% to 76.8%.
Projection For Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 13.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
