Najee Harris projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens on Dec 21, 2024
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 47.5 over: -115
- Rushing Yards 47.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 44.2% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
In this week's game, Najee Harris is predicted by the predictive model to finish in the 79th percentile among running backs with 15.2 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Najee Harris ranks in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 52.5% of the workload in his offense's running game.
Najee Harris has averaged 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (87th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Steelers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens run defense has surrendered a puny 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the fewest in football.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Baltimore's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection For Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 60.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 140
- Receptions 2.5 under: -170
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Steelers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.
With a sizeable 10.1% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Najee Harris rates among the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
This year, the formidable Ravens defense has conceded a measly 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.
As it relates to safeties getting after the quarterback, Baltimore's group of safeties has been very good this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
Projection For Najee Harris Receptions Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 1.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 14.5 over: -132
- Carries 14.5 under: 102
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 44.2% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
In this week's game, Najee Harris is predicted by the predictive model to finish in the 79th percentile among running backs with 15.2 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Najee Harris ranks in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 52.5% of the workload in his offense's running game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Steelers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Baltimore's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection For Najee Harris Carries Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 14.6 Carries in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 12.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 12.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Steelers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.
With a sizeable 10.1% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Najee Harris rates among the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the league.
Najee Harris has posted many more adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Najee Harris has compiled a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 7th percentile among running backs.
This year, the formidable Ravens defense has conceded a measly 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.
As it relates to safeties getting after the quarterback, Baltimore's group of safeties has been very good this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
Projection For Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 13.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
