New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints

Nov 3, 2024

Carolina Panthers

Carolina Panthers
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Marquez Valdes-Scantling Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Marquez Valdes-Scantling projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints on Dec 1, 2024

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: 108
  • Receptions 2.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the projection model to run 68.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The model projects Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack in this contest (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.3% in games he has played).

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 56.7% pass rate.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints ranks as the worst in football this year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling ranks as one of the weakest wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a lowly 1.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 7th percentile among WRs.

With a weak 50.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (21st percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling rates as one of the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.

Projection For Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop Bet

Marquez Valdes-Scantling is projected to have 2.9 Receptions in this weeks game.


Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 34.5 over: -125
  • Receiving Yards 34.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the projection model to run 68.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The model projects Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack in this contest (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.3% in games he has played).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, averaging 9.17 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.52 figure last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 56.7% pass rate.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has put up quite a few less air yards this season (38.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints ranks as the worst in football this year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling comes in as one of the weakest WRs in the game this year, averaging a measly 18.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile among wideouts.

Projection For Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Marquez Valdes-Scantling is projected to have 45.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
5
5
6
6
5
5
6
Consensus
-109
-114
-111
-117
-109
-114
-112
-116
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+1700
-
+2000
Consensus
-
+2100
-
+1800
Consensus
-
+3600
-
+3600
Consensus
-1386
+545
-1341
+510
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+2200
-
+2100
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1000
-
+1900
-
+1400
-
+2300
-
+2300
-
+2500
-
+2400
-
+600
-
+650
-
+1000
-
+1500
-
+2300
-
+2100
-
+1100
-
+1100
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+9625
+7250