New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints

Nov 3, 2024

Carolina Panthers

Carolina Panthers
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Marquez Valdes-Scantling Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Marquez Valdes-Scantling projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints on Dec 15, 2024

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: 100
  • Receptions 2.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Saints will be starting backup QB Jake Haener in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are heavy underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack in this contest (18.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.3% in games he has played).

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (55.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) this year.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling rates as one of the weakest wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a measly 1.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 20th percentile among WRs.

With a lackluster 52.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (23rd percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among wideouts.

Projection For Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop Bet

Marquez Valdes-Scantling is projected to have 3.1 Receptions in this weeks game.


Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 34.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 34.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Saints will be starting backup QB Jake Haener in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are heavy underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack in this contest (18.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.3% in games he has played).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (55.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) this year.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

With a lackluster 52.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (23rd percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among wideouts.

This year, the imposing Commanders pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a feeble 3.4 YAC.

Projection For Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Marquez Valdes-Scantling is projected to have 43.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+9625
+7250
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-1386
+545
-1341
+510
Consensus
-
+3600
-
+3600
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+2100
-
+1800
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+2200
-
+2100
Consensus
-
+1700
-
+2000
-
+1000
-
+1500
-
+2300
-
+2300
-
+1100
-
+1100
-
+2300
-
+2100
-
+2500
-
+2400
-
+1900
-
+1400
-
+600
-
+650
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
5
5
6
6
5
5
6
Consensus
-109
-114
-111
-117
-109
-114
-112
-116
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120