Joe Mixon projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans on Nov 24, 2024
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 17.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 17.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Houston Texans to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to earn 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.9% this year, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Texans are an enormous 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 29.0 per game) this year.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
Joe Mixon's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 83.5% to 67.6%.
The Titans defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 25.0) to running backs this year.
Projection For Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 20.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 87.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 87.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Texans are an enormous 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Houston Texans to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.8 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to earn 22.1 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Joe Mixon has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (98.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans defense has had the 7th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 4.21 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Titans defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best DT corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 88.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -118
- Receptions 2.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Houston Texans to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to earn 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.9% this year, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Texans are an enormous 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 29.0 per game) this year.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
Joe Mixon's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 83.5% to 67.6%.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the league.
Projection For Joe Mixon Receptions Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 2.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 21.5 over: -115
- Carries 21.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Texans are an enormous 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Houston Texans to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.8 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to earn 22.1 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Out of all RBs, Joe Mixon ranks in the 99th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 72.8% of the workload in his team's run game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Titans defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best DT corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For Joe Mixon Carries Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 19.8 Carries in this weeks game.
