Joe Mixon projections and prop bets for Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs on Jan 18, 2025

Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: -137
  • Receptions 2.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

In this game, Joe Mixon is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.1 targets.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).

In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

Projection For Joe Mixon Receptions Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 3.2 Receptions in this weeks game.


Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 16.5 over: -105
  • Receiving Yards 16.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the Houston Texans as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

In this game, Joe Mixon is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.1 targets.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).

In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

Projection For Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 23.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 15.5 over: -117
  • Carries 15.5 under: -112

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 20.7 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.

The predictive model expects the Texans as the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).

Projection For Joe Mixon Carries Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 18.4 Carries in this weeks game.


Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 59.5 over: 105
  • Rushing Yards 59.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 20.7 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Texans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog this week.

The predictive model expects the Texans as the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).

Projection For Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 80.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


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