Joe Mixon Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Joe Mixon projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans on Dec 25, 2024

Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 62.5 over: -110
• Rushing Yards 62.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The projections expect Joe Mixon to earn 17.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Joe Mixon has earned 74.6% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Joe Mixon's 84.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a remarkable improvement in his rushing talent over last year's 61.0 mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Texans as the 3rd-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 35.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Texans to call the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing squads have run for the fewest adjusted yards in football (just 81.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

Projection For Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 70.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 17.5 over: 102
• Carries 17.5 under: -134

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The projections expect Joe Mixon to earn 17.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Joe Mixon has earned 74.6% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Texans as the 3rd-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 35.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Texans to call the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

Projection For Joe Mixon Carries Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 16.4 Carries in this weeks game.

Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 22.5 over: -125
• Receiving Yards 22.5 under: -109

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 64.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

In this contest, Joe Mixon is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.7 targets.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the Texans to call the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year.

Joe Mixon's 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents an impressive decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 83.5% rate.

The Ravens pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) vs. running backs this year (78.1%).

The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Projection For Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 25.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.

Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 3.5 over: 122
• Receptions 3.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 64.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

In this contest, Joe Mixon is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.7 targets.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The model projects the Texans to call the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year.

Joe Mixon's 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents an impressive decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 83.5% rate.

The Ravens pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) vs. running backs this year (78.1%).

The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Projection For Joe Mixon Receptions Prop Bet

Joe Mixon is projected to have 3.3 Receptions in this weeks game.