Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 3, 2024

Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals
  • Overview
  • Props

Joe Burrow Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Joe Burrow projections and prop bets for Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals on Dec 22, 2024

Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -198
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 150

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (65.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 41.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all QBs.

With a fantastic 69.4% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most accurate passers in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The Bengals are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the fierce Browns defense has given up a paltry 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

Projection For Joe Burrow Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Joe Burrow is projected to have 2.1 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 10.5 over: -114
  • Rushing Yards 10.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Bengals are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Joe Burrow's running efficiency has gotten a boost this year, totaling 6.10 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 5.11 mark last year.

This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns run defense has conceded a meager 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 26th-smallest rate in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 36.6% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

In this week's game, Joe Burrow is expected by our trusted projection set to total the 7th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.7.

The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection For Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Joe Burrow is projected to have 9.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Completions 24.5 over: -135
  • Completions 24.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 41.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all QBs.

With a fantastic 69.4% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most accurate passers in football.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Cleveland's collection of CBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

The Bengals are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the fierce Browns defense has given up a paltry 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

Projection For Joe Burrow Completions Prop Bet

Joe Burrow is projected to have 24 Completions in this weeks game.


Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pass Attempts 37.5 over: -100
  • Pass Attempts 37.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 41.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all QBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The Bengals are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

Projection For Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Joe Burrow is projected to have 40.6 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.


Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 270.5 over: -114
  • Passing Yards 270.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 41.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all QBs.

Joe Burrow has thrown for many more adjusted yards per game (288.0) this year than he did last year (241.0).

With a fantastic 69.4% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most accurate passers in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

The Bengals are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the fierce Browns defense has given up a paltry 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

Projection For Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop Bet

Joe Burrow is projected to have 281.4 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: -120
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 41.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all QBs.

Cleveland's defense profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year as it relates to producing interceptions, averaging just 0.28 per game.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Cleveland's collection of CBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

The Bengals are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

Projection For Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop Bet

Joe Burrow is projected to have 0.8 Interceptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Longest Pass
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • To Complete First Pass
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Longest Pass
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • To Complete First Pass
  • To Throw An Interception
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
61
62
60
59
260
262
261
263
256
259
255
264
257
266
265
258
254
253
268
267
60
59
62
61
261
260
266
262
258
259
263
268
256
264
254
257
253
265
255
267
61
62
60
59
260
262
261
263
256
259
255
264
257
266
265
258
254
253
268
267
60
59
62
61
261
260
266
262
258
259
263
268
256
264
254
257
253
265
255
267
Consensus
-108
-110
-112
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-113
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-113
-115
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-115
-116
-107
-115
-
-
-
-114
-116
-109
-115
-115
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-119
-114
-113
-115
-
-114
-
-
-112
-
-113
-115
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-106
-116
-
-
-
-113
-118
-112
-113
-112
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-116
-119
-116
-114
-112
-
-112
-
-
-114
-
-113
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-110
-110
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-112
-111
-112
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-113
-115
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-113
-110
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
+100
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-130
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-520
+411
-676
+408
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
Consensus
-
+2000
-
+1600
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1600
Consensus
-
+1700
-
+1700
Consensus
-
+800
-
+800
Consensus
-
+1100
-
+1200
-
+400
-
+370
-
+700
-
+700
-
+1500
-
+1600
-
+1000
-
+1600
-
+1900
-
+1800
-
+800
-
+750
-
+1200
-
+1200
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
11
10
9
16
7
8
11
8
10
9
7
16
11
10
9
16
7
8
11
8
10
9
7
16
Consensus
-108
-111
-120
-
-125
-120
-113
-109
-120
-108
-104
-
-109
-111
-121
-
-125
-114
-116
-118
-119
-109
-104
-
-119
-113
-123
-
-131
-123
-115
-106
-113
-108
-104
-
-109
-113
-123
-
-131
-119
-125
-115
-121
-109
-104
-
-105
-120
-120
-
-
-
-120
-
-110
-105
-
-
-105
-120
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-105
-125
-115
-125
-110
-110
-120
-120
-110
-105
-115
-120
-110
-125
-115
-125
-120
-115
-110
-120
-105
-105
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
8
7
6
7
8
6
8
7
6
7
8
6
Consensus
-105
-105
-120
-125
-113
-105
-110
-120
-120
-110
-128
-113
-105
-105
-125
-120
-110
-105
-110
-115
-125
-120
-120
-105
+100
-130
-135
-125
-130
-105
-110
-135
-130
+100
-135
+100
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
24
23
25
24
25
23
24
23
25
24
25
23
Consensus
-120
-
+103
-113
-133
-
-125
-
+106
-115
-136
-
-127
-
-
-117
-
-
-108
-
-
-127
-
-
-110
-
+105
-115
-150
-
-105
-
+105
-120
-135
-
-115
-120
-
-113
-
-108
+102
-120
-
-132
-
-108
-110
-
+100
-105
-140
-
-120
-
+105
-120
-135
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
38
37
36
37
38
36
38
37
36
37
38
36
Consensus
-112
-111
-118
-117
-116
-112
-116
-116
-121
-112
-118
-110
-115
-123
-121
-123
-119
-113
-111
-111
-121
-113
-113
-113
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-110
-120
-120
-110
-120
-110
-110
-115
-120
-120
-120
-110
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4500
+5000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3240
+3575
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
35
34
33
36
35
34
36
33
35
34
33
36
35
34
36
33
Consensus
-107
-125
-
-
-113
-101
-
-
-117
-127
-
-
-119
-106
-
-
-111
-135
-
-
-121
+108
-
-
-111
-111
-
-
-123
-101
-
-
-115
-135
-
-
-120
-110
-
-
-105
-130
-
-
-115
-105
-
-
-
-108
-114
-
-
-120
-
-108
-
-120
-120
-
-
-114
-
-108
-110
-120
-
-105
-120
-120
-130
-
-125
-115
-
-105
-125
-110
-130
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
+105
-138
+101
-136
-101
-142
-101
-135
-110
-140
-105
-130
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
Consensus
-155
+115
-150
+117
-110
+132
-155
+125
-170
+135
-145
+120
-155
-120
-145
+125
-155
+115
-160
+125
-165
+120
-120
+120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
277
283
281
270
269
272
274
275
273
278
271
276
284
279
280
271
283
278
270
274
277
269
272
273
276
275
284
279
281
280
277
283
281
270
269
272
274
275
273
278
271
276
284
279
280
271
283
278
270
274
277
269
272
273
276
275
284
279
281
280
Consensus
-117
-115
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-117
-115
-
-117
-120
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-119
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-119
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
-151
+120
-155
+119
-166
+116
-160
+116
-165
+125
-175
+120
-146
+112
-146
+112
-155
+115
-145
+115
-145
+115
-150
+115
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+300
-450
+300
-450
+300
-450
+300
-450
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-120
-108
-120
-108
-120
-108
-120
-108