Jahmyr Gibbs projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Houston Texans on Nov 10, 2024
Jahmyr Gibbs Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 11.5 over: -146
- Carries 11.5 under: 112
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the present time, the 10th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (41.1% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Detroit Lions.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 45.2% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Houston's group of DTs has been lousy this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Projection For Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop Bet
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to have 12 Carries in this weeks game.
Jahmyr Gibbs Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -140
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
In regards to air yards, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the towering 79th percentile among running backs this year, totaling a colossal 1.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
With a remarkable 22.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (86th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the best RB receiving threats in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
Jahmyr Gibbs's 48.0% Route Participation Rate this year signifies a material reduction in his air attack utilization over last year's 58.9% rate.
Projection For Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to have 19.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Jahmyr Gibbs Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -110
- Receptions 2.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With a fantastic 2.6 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks as one of the top pass-game RBs in the NFL.
Jahmyr Gibbs's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 73.7% to 82.1%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the moment, the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
Jahmyr Gibbs's 48.0% Route Participation Rate this year signifies a material reduction in his air attack utilization over last year's 58.9% rate.
Projection For Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop Bet
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to have 2.8 Receptions in this weeks game.
Jahmyr Gibbs Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 62.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 62.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
At the present time, the 10th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (41.1% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Detroit Lions.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Lions are forecasted by the model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 45.2% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (86.0) this year than he did last year (65.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 109.0 per game) vs. the Texans defense this year.
Projection For Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to have 57.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
