Geno Smith projections and prop bets for Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks on Nov 24, 2024
Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -110
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 6th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 129.5 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to attempt 35.4 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
In averaging a massive 1.12 interceptions per game this year, Geno Smith ranks among the weakest quarterbacks in the league (8th percentile).
The Arizona Cardinals have intercepted 0.50 balls per game this year, ranking as the 10th-worst defense in the NFL by this metric
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Projection For Geno Smith Interceptions Prop Bet
Geno Smith is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -117
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -117
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 6th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (58.7% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 129.5 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
Geno Smith's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.3% to 68.7%.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (73.6% Adjusted Completion%).
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
This year, the daunting Cardinals defense has surrendered a measly 1.10 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.
Projection For Geno Smith Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Geno Smith is projected to have 1.7 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 14.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 14.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 129.5 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
After making up 8.2% of his team's run game usage last season, Geno Smith has played a bigger part in the run game this season, now comprising 14.8%.
Geno Smith has rushed for significantly more yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).
Geno Smith's running efficiency has been refined this season, totaling 6.84 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 5.63 figure last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 41.4% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
With an awful record of 0.78 yards-after-contact (16th percentile), Geno Smith stands as one of the worst rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Arizona's collection of safeties has been excellent this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.
Projection For Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Geno Smith is projected to have 18 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 251.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 251.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 6th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 129.5 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to attempt 35.4 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
Geno Smith's 282.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys an impressive improvement in his passing proficiency over last season's 237.0 mark.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (73.6% Adjusted Completion%).
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Projection For Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop Bet
Geno Smith is projected to have 247.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
