Derek Carr projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints on Nov 10, 2024
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 202.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 202.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects the Saints as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The Saints have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.1 plays per game.
The Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.1 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the worst in football this year.
Derek Carr's 190.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a substantial diminishment in his throwing prowess over last season's 221.0 mark.
This year, the imposing Falcons defense has yielded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a meager 6.8 yards.
This year, the tough Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a meager 3.5 YAC.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Derek Carr Passing Yards Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 251.4 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -135
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects the Saints as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The Saints have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.1 plays per game.
The Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.1 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the worst in football this year.
Atlanta's defense profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year when it comes to producing interceptions, notching 0.84 per game.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Derek Carr Interceptions Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 0.8 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 165
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -210
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects the Saints as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.1 per game) this year.
Derek Carr has been among the best TD passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 1.50 per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Right now, the 3rd-least pass-focused team in football in the red zone (48.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New Orleans Saints.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the worst in football this year.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Derek Carr Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Derek Carr is projected to have 1.1 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
