Dalton Kincaid Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Dalton Kincaid projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs on Jan 26, 2025

Dalton Kincaid Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 34.5 over: -125
• Receiving Yards 34.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.3 per game) this year.

When it comes to air yards, Dalton Kincaid grades out in the towering 95th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a remarkable 44.0 per game.

Dalton Kincaid's 42.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 35.7.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

Dalton Kincaid's 33.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving skills over last year's 42.0 rate.

Dalton Kincaid's 62.0% Adjusted Catch% this season represents an impressive reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 81.6% mark.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection For Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Dalton Kincaid is projected to have 31.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.

Dalton Kincaid Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 3.5 over: 102
• Receptions 3.5 under: -132

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.3 per game) this year.

Dalton Kincaid's 42.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 35.7.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Chiefs pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.6%) vs. tight ends this year (79.6%).

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

Dalton Kincaid's play as a receiver has worsened this season, averaging a mere 3.1 adjusted receptions compared to 4.6 last season.

Dalton Kincaid's 62.0% Adjusted Catch% this season represents an impressive reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 81.6% mark.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection For Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop Bet

Dalton Kincaid is projected to have 2.9 Receptions in this weeks game.