Dalton Kincaid Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Dalton Kincaid projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills on Dec 22, 2024

Dalton Kincaid Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 37.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 37.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

In this week's contest, Dalton Kincaid is anticipated by the model to rank in the 85th percentile among tight ends with 5.4 targets.

After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last season, Dalton Kincaid has undergone big improvement this season, now averaging 47.0 per game.

Dalton Kincaid's 44.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 35.1.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.

With a fantastic 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (80th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid ranks among the top pass-game tight ends in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 14-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bills to pass on 51.9% of their plays: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Bills this year (only 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

Projection For Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Dalton Kincaid is projected to have 36.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.