Cole Kmet projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears on Nov 24, 2024
Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 24.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 24.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
As it relates to air yards, Cole Kmet grades out in the towering 85th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating an impressive 30.0 per game.
The Bears O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see only 127.7 total plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
Cole Kmet's 13.7% Target Share this year reflects a substantial diminishment in his pass attack usage over last year's 20.4% rate.
Cole Kmet's 40.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season shows an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 48.0 mark.
The Vikings linebackers grade out as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection For Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Cole Kmet is projected to have 23.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -125
- Receptions 2.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
The Bears O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Cole Kmet's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 83.1% to 87.1%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see only 127.7 total plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
Cole Kmet's 13.7% Target Share this year reflects a substantial diminishment in his pass attack usage over last year's 20.4% rate.
Cole Kmet's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 4.9 rate.
The Vikings linebackers grade out as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection For Cole Kmet Receptions Prop Bet
Cole Kmet is projected to have 2.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
