Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears

Nov 3, 2024

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals
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Cole Kmet Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Cole Kmet projections and prop bets for Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears on Dec 26, 2024

Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: 140
  • Receptions 2.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

With a terrific 84.6% Adjusted Completion% (88th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet places among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to TEs.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 8th-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.77 seconds per snap.

Cole Kmet's 11.3% Target Rate this season marks a meaningful diminishment in his passing game usage over last season's 20.4% figure.

Cole Kmet's pass-catching performance diminished this season, notching just 3.6 adjusted catches compared to 4.9 last season.

The Seahawks safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection For Cole Kmet Receptions Prop Bet

Cole Kmet is projected to have 2.2 Receptions in this weeks game.


Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 18.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 18.5 under: -118

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

With a terrific 84.6% Adjusted Completion% (88th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet places among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to TEs.

Cole Kmet's pass-catching efficiency has improved this season, averaging 9.35 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 8.26 mark last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 8th-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.77 seconds per snap.

Cole Kmet's 11.3% Target Rate this season marks a meaningful diminishment in his passing game usage over last season's 20.4% figure.

After accruing 32.0 air yards per game last season, Cole Kmet has regressed heavily this season, now sitting at 25.0 per game.

Cole Kmet has notched many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (40.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).

The Seahawks safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection For Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Cole Kmet is projected to have 22.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-494
+308
-513
+303
Consensus
-
+1500
-
+1400
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+950
Consensus
-
+650
-
+600
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+600
-
+550
Consensus
-
+1300
-
+1500
-
+300
-
+330
-
+1400
-
+1500
-
+1000
-
+1000
-
+650
-
+600
-
+1000
-
+1000
-
+600
-
+550
-
+1400
-
+1400
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+5500
+5500
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
4
4
4
Consensus
+127
-165
+137
-154
+133
-157
+118
-189
+135
-175
+125
-165
+136
-178
+136
-178
+135
-175
+130
-165
+135
-175
+145
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
31
32
30
29
26
1
30
31
29
26
32
1
31
32
30
29
26
1
30
31
29
26
32
1
Consensus
-113
-112
-115
-110
-
-
-109
-123
-121
-
-115
-
-112
-113
-117
-118
-
-
-113
-119
-115
-
-114
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-119
-119
-123
-
-119
-
-115
-115
-129
-109
-
-
-121
-119
-125
-
-119
-
-120
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-130
-110
-110
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-130
-120
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-115
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-115
-
-115
-110
-120
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-115
-
+100
-
-
-
-130
-
-
-125
-
+100
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-130
-
-105
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
16
16
15
15
16
16
15
Consensus
-112
-106
-112
-106
-121
-118
-111
-111
-125
-109
-127
-109
-127
-108
-121
-108
-113
-
-
-118
-114
-
-
-118
-125
-110
-120
-105
-125
-115
-115
-105
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2666
+2400
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+210
+210