Christian Watson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Christian Watson projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers on Nov 28, 2024

Christian Watson Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 2.5 over: -168
• Receptions 2.5 under: 128

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The projections expect Christian Watson to garner 6.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

While Christian Watson has received 12.5% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Green Bay's offense in this week's contest at 20.3%.

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

Christian Watson's 61.7% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteable gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 55.0% mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.

The Packers rank as the 4th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 55.2% pass rate.

The Packers offense has played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 29.69 seconds per snap.

The Miami cornerbacks project as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection For Christian Watson Receptions Prop Bet

Christian Watson is projected to have 3.6 Receptions in this weeks game.

Christian Watson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 44.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 44.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The projections expect Christian Watson to garner 6.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

While Christian Watson has received 12.5% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Green Bay's offense in this week's contest at 20.3%.

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

Christian Watson's 61.7% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteable gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 55.0% mark.

Christian Watson's 10.5 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a noteable progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 7.4 mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.

The Packers rank as the 4th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 55.2% pass rate.

The Packers offense has played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 29.69 seconds per snap.

Christian Watson has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (98.0 per game).

The Dolphins defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 126.0) to wideouts this year.

Projection For Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Christian Watson is projected to have 52.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.