Christian McCaffrey projections and prop bets for San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers on Nov 24, 2024
Christian McCaffrey Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 72.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 72.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the model to rank in the 92nd percentile among running backs with 18.9 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 66.7% of the workload in his team's run game.
Christian McCaffrey has averaged 91.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (100th percentile).
The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
Christian McCaffrey's ground efficiency has worsened this season, notching a measly 3.36 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.64 mark last season.
Projection For Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Christian McCaffrey is projected to have 76.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Christian McCaffrey Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 33.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 33.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With an extraordinary 79.6% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian McCaffrey stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 6.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Christian McCaffrey has compiled a monstrous 12.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
With an impressive 39.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian McCaffrey rates among the leading pass-catching running backs in the league.
This year, the feeble Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a massive 40.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 5th-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
Christian McCaffrey's 4.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a material decline in his effectiveness in space over last season's 6.7% rate.
This year, the formidable Green Bay Packers defense has given up a puny 81.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-smallest rate in football.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection For Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Christian McCaffrey is projected to have 39.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
