Chase Brown Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Chase Brown projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals on Dec 28, 2024

Chase Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 26.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 26.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to earn 6.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Chase Brown has notched a monstrous 5.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Chase Brown's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 93.3% to 85.2%.

Chase Brown's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this season, accumulating a mere 6.14 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.70 mark last season.

Chase Brown's skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this season, averaging a measly 5.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 13.86 mark last season.

Projection For Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Chase Brown is projected to have 33.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.

Chase Brown Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 76.5 over: -110
• Rushing Yards 76.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Chase Brown to accrue 18.4 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

The projections expect Chase Brown to be a more important option in his offense's running game in this week's contest (78.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (61.2% in games he has played).

Chase Brown's 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a remarkable boost in his running prowess over last season's 16.0 figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 34.8% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

This year, the weak Broncos run defense has given up a monstrous 3.88 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 30th-largest rate in the NFL.

Projection For Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Chase Brown is projected to have 72.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.