Chase Brown projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers on Nov 17, 2024
Chase Brown Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 66.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 66.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to accumulate 13.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
While Chase Brown has garnered 50.0% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Cincinnati's running game in this game at 62.7%.
Chase Brown has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (52.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
Chase Brown's 4.4 adjusted yards per carry this year marks an impressive progression in his running prowess over last year's 3.6 figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Bengals to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 34.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see only 124.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Bengals this year (a lowly 55.6 per game on average).
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
This year, the tough Chargers run defense has surrendered a feeble 106.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 8th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Chase Brown is projected to have 55.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Chase Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 27.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 27.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.8% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's game, Chase Brown is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 95th percentile among RBs with 4.2 targets.
Chase Brown has been a more integral piece of his team's pass game this season (10.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.7%).
Chase Brown has accumulated a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see only 124.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Bengals this year (a lowly 55.6 per game on average).
Chase Brown's 86.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 93.3% figure.
Chase Brown's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 4.48 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.70 mark last year.
The Chargers pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (74.8%) versus running backs this year (74.8%).
Projection For Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Chase Brown is projected to have 20.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
