Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
CeeDee Lamb projections and prop bets for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys on Dec 22, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Cowboys may pass less in this game (and call more carries) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.
A throwing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: most in the league.
After accumulating 109.0 air yards per game last season, CeeDee Lamb has produced significantly less this season, currently pacing 80.0 per game.
CeeDee Lamb's 61.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 71.1.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year.
CeeDee Lamb's 78.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents an impressive drop-off in his receiving skills over last year's 103.0 mark.
CeeDee Lamb's 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 74.7% rate.
CeeDee Lamb is projected to have 76.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
