Washington Commanders

Washington Commanders

Nov 3, 2024

New York Giants

New York Giants
  • Overview
  • Props

Brian Robinson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Brian Robinson projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Jan 12, 2025

Brian Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 9.5 over: -117
  • Receiving Yards 9.5 under: -112

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog in this game.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Washington Commanders this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in football.

This year, the poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a whopping 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 5th-most in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the Commanders to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Brian Robinson's 12.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a noteworthy reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 24.0 rate.

Brian Robinson's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 90.4% to 83.4%.

Brian Robinson's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a measly 6.73 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.86 rate last year.

Brian Robinson's 8.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a noteworthy decrease in his efficiency in space over last season's 11.3% rate.

Projection For Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Brian Robinson is projected to have 11.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Brian Robinson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 45.5 over: -114
  • Rushing Yards 45.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Washington Commanders this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Brian Robinson to total 13.1 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Brian Robinson has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (58.0) this year than he did last year (47.0).

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's collection of DEs has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in football. in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog in this game.

With a 37.5% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 6th-least run-heavy offense in football has been the Commanders.

After making up 60.4% of his team's rush attempts last year, Brian Robinson has had a smaller role in the rushing attack this year, now comprising only 48.0%.

Opposing teams have run for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 100.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.

Projection For Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Brian Robinson is projected to have 53.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Brian Robinson Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 11.5 over: -106
  • Carries 11.5 under: -122

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Washington Commanders this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Brian Robinson to total 13.1 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's collection of DEs has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in football. in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog in this game.

With a 37.5% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 6th-least run-heavy offense in football has been the Commanders.

After making up 60.4% of his team's rush attempts last year, Brian Robinson has had a smaller role in the rushing attack this year, now comprising only 48.0%.

Projection For Brian Robinson Carries Prop Bet

Brian Robinson is projected to have 12.8 Carries in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Receptions
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-126
-111
-125
+103
Consensus
-
+490
-
+460
Consensus
-
+270
-
+280
Consensus
-
+230
-
+230
Consensus
-
+600
-
+650
Consensus
-
+700
-
+700
Consensus
-
+470
-
+550
-
+470
-
+490
-
+290
-
+260
-
+600
-
+550
-
+110
-
+115
-
+550
-
+500
-
+750
-
+650
-
+220
-
+250
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
4
5
7
6
5
4
7
6
4
5
7
6
5
4
7
Consensus
-113
-118
-114
-
-108
-119
-107
-
-115
-119
-107
-
-109
-114
-108
-
-115
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-115
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-120
-120
-110
-110
-110
-110
-110
-120
-120
-120
-120
-110
-115
-110
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
62
68
67
63
61
64
69
56
66
65
61
63
67
68
69
62
65
66
56
64
62
68
67
63
61
64
69
56
66
65
61
63
67
68
69
62
65
66
56
64
Consensus
-113
-115
-118
-113
-118
-
-113
-
-113
-118
-117
-119
-115
-115
-120
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-115
-118
-115
-115
-115
-
-113
-
-113
-118
-117
-120
-115
-117
-120
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-110
-115
-110
-
-115
-120
-110
-120
-120
-115
-
-120
-115
-120
-110
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
-110
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-120
-120
-
-120
-115
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
54
55
57
14
58
59
56
13
48
53
60
12
58
12
53
54
57
55
14
59
48
56
13
60
54
55
57
14
58
59
56
13
48
53
60
12
58
12
53
54
57
55
14
59
48
56
13
60
Consensus
-119
-
-112
-
-117
-
-121
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-106
-113
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-113
-
-112
-
-126
-
-121
-
-
-
-
-
-107
-
-
-107
-113
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-106
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-117
-127
-127
-
-127
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-
-
-113
-108
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-121
-121
-127
-
-121
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-117
-108
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-130
-
-130
-
-125
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
+100
+100
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-130
-
-130
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-105
+100
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-120
-110
-120
-
-115
-110
-
-
-120
-115
-
-
-110
-
-115
-115
-110
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-110
-120
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
14
12
13
14
12
13
14
12
13
14
12
13
Consensus
-117
-
-125
-115
-
-105
-115
-
-125
-125
-
-105
-115
-
+105
-115
-
-135
-105
-
+105
-125
-
-135
-120
-
-
-108
-
-
-120
-
-
-108
-
-
-115
+100
-130
-125
-130
-105
-115
+100
-130
-120
-130
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
5
4
6
5
4
6
5
4
6
5
4
Consensus
-113
-108
-
-120
-105
-
-101
-110
-
-117
-119
-
-115
-115
-
-119
-119
-
-115
-127
-
-119
-119
-
-115
-125
-115
-120
-120
-115
-105
-105
-115
-115
-105
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2500
+1100
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+573
+693
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
15
16
15
16
15
16
15
Consensus
-110
-113
-125
-108
-105
-118
-115
-120
-110
-110
-120
-110
-110
-120
-120
-110
+104
-
-128
-
+104
-
-128
-
-110
-120
-120
-110
-105
-125
-115
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
Consensus
+148
-
-191
-
+150
-
-215
-
+159
-
-244
-
+143
-
-179
-
+165
-
-215
-
+150
-
-205
-
+165
-250
-200
+180
+145
-250
-190
+180

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