Washington Commanders

Washington Commanders

Nov 3, 2024

New York Giants

New York Giants
  • Overview
  • Props

Austin Ekeler Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 6

Austin Ekeler MLB projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens on Oct 13, 2024

Austin Ekeler Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: -195
  • Receptions 2.5 under: 148

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.

The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (40.6 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Austin Ekeler to accumulate 4.1 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

The Washington offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Austin Ekeler rates as one of the leading pass-game running backs this year, averaging an impressive 2.8 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The model projects the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Austin Ekeler's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 19.8.

This year, the daunting Ravens defense has conceded a feeble 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the best rate in football.

Projection For Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop Bet

Austin Ekeler is projected to have 2.9 Receptions in this weeks game.


Austin Ekeler Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 10.5 over: 102
  • Carries 10.5 under: -132

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The model projects Austin Ekeler to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack in this week's game (39.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.

The model projects the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Baltimore's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in football.

Projection For Austin Ekeler Carries Prop Bet

Austin Ekeler is projected to have 10.7 Carries in this weeks game.


Austin Ekeler Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 42.5 over: -135
  • Rushing Yards 42.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The model projects Austin Ekeler to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack in this week's game (39.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.

The model projects the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

With a terrible rate of 2.67 yards after contact (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Ekeler stands among the least formidable RBs in the league.

This year, the imposing Ravens run defense has yielded a feeble 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Baltimore's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in football.

Projection For Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Austin Ekeler is projected to have 47.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Austin Ekeler Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 24.5 over: -123
  • Receiving Yards 24.5 under: -111

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.

The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (40.6 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Austin Ekeler to accumulate 4.1 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

The Washington offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Austin Ekeler's 37.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys a substantial gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 31.0 figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

In regards to air yards, Austin Ekeler ranks in just the 15th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -6.0 per game.

Austin Ekeler's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 19.8.

This year, the daunting Ravens defense has conceded a feeble 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the best rate in football.

This year, the fierce Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a measly 5.8 yards.

Projection For Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Austin Ekeler is projected to have 21.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Rush
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3083
+6066
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
Consensus
+123
+134
-164
-156
+116
+124
-185
-165
+112
+139
-194
-154
+112
+118
-163
-154
+120
+125
-185
-130
+100
+125
-165
-155
-160
-
-
+122
+126
-
-
-178
-105
+125
-165
-155
+120
+130
-175
-160
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+600
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+280
-
+440
Consensus
-375
+229
-329
+140
Consensus
-
+470
-
+230
Consensus
-
+500
-
+750
Consensus
-
+700
-
+1400
Consensus
-
+440
-
+460
-
+1100
-
+900
-
+260
-
+270
-
+220
-
+110
-
+400
-
+460
-
+410
-
+750
-
+700
-
+1400
-
+480
-
+440
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
11
12
24
55
23
22
53
56
57
50
30
25
10
12
11
23
57
56
55
22
24
30
50
53
25
10
11
12
24
55
23
22
53
56
57
50
30
25
10
12
11
23
57
56
55
22
24
30
50
53
25
10
Consensus
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-118
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-104
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-118
-118
-118
-
-120
-117
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-110
-113
-111
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-114
-121
-
-120
-117
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-115
-110
-113
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-
Consensus
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-129
-119
-125
-
-125
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-109
-109
-106
-109
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-125
-119
-
-125
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-109
-109
-109
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-110
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-112
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-104
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-110
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-110
-
-110
-110
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-120
-110
-120
-
-110
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-110
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-120
-
-115
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-120
-115
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
16
19
20
18
15
43
81
80
45
78
54
82
79
75
84
17
16
20
19
18
15
81
80
43
45
82
75
79
54
78
84
17
16
19
20
18
15
43
81
80
45
78
54
82
79
75
84
17
16
20
19
18
15
81
80
43
45
82
75
79
54
78
84
Consensus
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-118
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-110
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-120
-120
-
-
-
-120
-119
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-112
-118
-
-115
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-120
-120
-
-
-
-120
-119
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-112
-113
-
-115
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-119
-125
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-109
-109
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-119
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-109
-121
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-113
-
-114
-
-
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-115
-115
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-110
-115
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1412
+1050
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
11
11
12
12
11
11
12
Consensus
-115
-122
-104
-121
-116
-126
-107
-118
-113
-127
-108
-121
-113
-127
-108
-121
-110
-120
-110
-110
-110
-125
-105
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
20
22
17
21
24
18
23
17
22
20
21
18
24
23
20
22
17
21
24
18
23
17
22
20
21
18
24
23
Consensus
-110
-
-113
-121
-
-
-
-118
-
-116
-105
-
-
-
-117
-
-110
-125
-
-
-
-117
-
-110
-106
-
-
-
-113
-
-113
-135
-
-
-
-121
-
-121
-101
-
-
-
-113
-
-113
-135
-
-
-
-121
-
-121
-101
-
-
-
-115
-120
-110
-125
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-105
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-125
-
-115
-
-115
-110
-115
-105
-115
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-110
-
-110
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-110
-110
-
-110
-
-110
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
13
13
13
13
Consensus
-123
-110
-140
-108
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-130
+100
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
15
16
11
10
15
11
16
10
15
16
11
10
15
11
16
Consensus
-120
-130
-105
-105
-115
-105
-
-130
-118
-120
-105
-105
-110
-110
-
-130
-115
-
-
-105
-110
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-105
-115
-
-
-
-120
-125
-105
-105
-115
-105
-125
-130
-115
-130
-105
-105
-115
-110
-125
-130