Austin Ekeler MLB projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens on Oct 13, 2024
Austin Ekeler Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -195
- Receptions 2.5 under: 148
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At a -8-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (40.6 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect Austin Ekeler to accumulate 4.1 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
The Washington offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Austin Ekeler rates as one of the leading pass-game running backs this year, averaging an impressive 2.8 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Austin Ekeler's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 19.8.
This year, the daunting Ravens defense has conceded a feeble 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the best rate in football.
Projection For Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop Bet
Austin Ekeler is projected to have 2.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
Austin Ekeler Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 10.5 over: 102
- Carries 10.5 under: -132
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The model projects Austin Ekeler to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack in this week's game (39.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At a -8-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The model projects the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Baltimore's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in football.
Projection For Austin Ekeler Carries Prop Bet
Austin Ekeler is projected to have 10.7 Carries in this weeks game.
Austin Ekeler Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 42.5 over: -135
- Rushing Yards 42.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects Austin Ekeler to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack in this week's game (39.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At a -8-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The model projects the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
With a terrible rate of 2.67 yards after contact (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Ekeler stands among the least formidable RBs in the league.
This year, the imposing Ravens run defense has yielded a feeble 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Baltimore's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in football.
Projection For Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Austin Ekeler is projected to have 47.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Austin Ekeler Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 24.5 over: -123
- Receiving Yards 24.5 under: -111
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At a -8-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (40.6 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect Austin Ekeler to accumulate 4.1 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
The Washington offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Austin Ekeler's 37.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys a substantial gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 31.0 figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
In regards to air yards, Austin Ekeler ranks in just the 15th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -6.0 per game.
Austin Ekeler's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 19.8.
This year, the daunting Ravens defense has conceded a feeble 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the best rate in football.
This year, the fierce Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a measly 5.8 yards.
Projection For Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Austin Ekeler is projected to have 21.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
