Alexander Mattison projections and prop bets for Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Rams on Oct 20, 2024
Alexander Mattison Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 10.5 over: -110
- Carries 10.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 39.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Raiders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
After making up 51.5% of his team's run game usage last year, Alexander Mattison has had a smaller role in the running game this year, now sitting at just 37.1%.
Projection For Alexander Mattison Carries Prop Bet
Alexander Mattison is projected to have 9.2 Carries in this weeks game.
Alexander Mattison Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 33.5 over: -170
- Rushing Yards 33.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This year, the deficient Los Angeles Rams run defense has given up a colossal 161.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-worst in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 39.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Raiders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
Alexander Mattison's 26.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a noteworthy reduction in his running ability over last season's 44.0 mark.
Projection For Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Alexander Mattison is projected to have 36.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Alexander Mattison Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 12.5 over: -125
- Receiving Yards 12.5 under: -109
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 9th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
The leading projections forecast Alexander Mattison to garner 3.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Alexander Mattison has put up quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Raiders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 25.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: fewest in football.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has displayed good efficiency against running backs since the start of last season, giving up 4.52 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in football.
Projection For Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Alexander Mattison is projected to have 15.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Alexander Mattison Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: -190
- Receptions 1.5 under: 155
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 9th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
The leading projections forecast Alexander Mattison to garner 3.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Alexander Mattison's 76.8% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful growth in his pass-catching skills over last year's 71.3% figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Raiders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 25.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: fewest in football.
Projection For Alexander Mattison Receptions Prop Bet
Alexander Mattison is projected to have 2.2 Receptions in this weeks game.
