Los Angeles Chargers
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Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals Pick & Preview – 10/21/2024
Chargers vs Cardinals Betting Odds
Spread: | Los Angeles Chargers -2.5, Arizona Cardinals 2.5 |
Over/Under: | 44 |
Moneyline: | Los Angeles Chargers -145, Arizona Cardinals 125 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Los Angeles Chargers - 57% | Los Angeles Chargers - 48% |
Arizona Cardinals - 43% | Arizona Cardinals - 52% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals Betting Preview
Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers will face off against Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals on Monday Night Football this week. The Chargers enter the game as a favorite (-145) despite being on the road. Los Angeles is currently favored by -2.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 44.0.
Los Angeles's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #23 in the league with a mere 288 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #4-worst in football with 175 yards per game. It's tough to succeed when you don't have much time to throw, as has been the case for Los Angeles. Their offensive line has ranked just #29 in pass protection. In terms of their defense, the Chargers have ranked #6 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 207 yards per game through the air against them (#24 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #25 with 4.33 yards per carry. Los Angeles has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 3.87 yards per target (#1-best). Los Angeles has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up 9.12 yards per target (#3-worst).
Arizona's primary disadvantage this season has been their pass offense, which has ranked #23 in football with a low 205 yards per game through the air. When it comes to their defense, the Cardinals check in at #28 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 229 yards per game against Arizona this year (#14 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #14 against them with 4.85 yards per ground attempt. A strong argument could be made that their best position group is their safeties, who rank #3 in the league when it comes to run-stopping. Arizona's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have caught 89.1% of their passes, #1-highest in the league.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction
Final Score: Los Angeles Chargers 23.32 vs Arizona Cardinals 24.37
**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.
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Los Angeles Chargers
Arizona Cardinals