Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction & Odds – 10/20/2024

Chiefs vs 49ers Betting Odds

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 22 in 2023. That game resulted in a win for the Chiefs with a final score of 25-22. Kansas City entered that game as a 2.0 point road underog. They had an implied win probablity of 48% before pulling of a minor upset. The Game Total for that game was 46.5 and which the Over hit.

San Francisco's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #2 in football at 408 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The 49ers 5.84 yards per carry ranks #1-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; San Francisco's 8.76 yards per target puts them #1 in football. When it comes to their defense, the 49ers check in at #12 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 236 yards per game against San Francisco this year (#12 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #24 against them with 4.39 yards per ground attempt. This 49ers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, allowing them to complete just 57.5% of their passes (#4-lowest in the league). San Francisco's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 43 yards per game (#5-worst in the league).

Kansas City's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #6 in the league while allowing just 302 yards per game. Much of their success has been in shutting down the run game, holding opposing ball-carriers to the #3-least yards per carry: 3.67. The Chiefs linebackers have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #8-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Chiefs have ranked #11 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 247 yards per game (#10 in football). On the ground they've ranked #23 with 3.93 yards per carry.

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Chiefs 22.67 vs San Francisco 49ers 27.9

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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