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Houston Texans vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Pick & Preview – 9/22/2024
Texans vs Vikings Betting Odds
Spread: | Houston Texans -2, Minnesota Vikings 2 |
Over/Under: | 46 |
Moneyline: | Houston Texans -135, Minnesota Vikings 115 |
Houston Texans vs Minnesota Vikings Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Houston Texans - 55% | Houston Texans - 48% |
Minnesota Vikings - 45% | Minnesota Vikings - 52% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Houston Texans vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans faceoff against Sam Darnold and the Minnesota Vikings. The Texans enter the game as a favorite (-135) despite being on the road. Houston is currently favored by -2.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 46.0.
Minnesota's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #7 in the NFL at 345 yards per game. The quality of their passing attack has led to much of their success. The Vikings 265 yards per game through the air ranks #5-best in football this year. It's easy to see why they've done so well through the air when you notice the quality of their offensive line, which ranks #10 in the league in pass protection. When it comes to their defense, the Vikings check in at #14 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 224 yards per game against Minnesota this year (#16 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #28 against them with 3.96 yards per ground attempt. This Vikings defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 4.9 yards per target (#4-best in the league). Minnesota's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have caught 78% of their passes, #4-highest in the league.
Houston's biggest strength has been their run defense, which ranks #1 in the league while allowing just 3.59 yards per carry this season. The Texans safeties have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #3-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Texans have ranked #10 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 253 yards per game (#8 in football). On the ground they've ranked #28 with 3.72 yards per carry.
Houston Texans vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction
Final Score: Houston Texans 25.3 vs Minnesota Vikings 26.3
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Houston Texans
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