Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Picks – 9/22/2024

Lions vs Cardinals Betting Odds

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals Betting Preview

Sunday the Detroit Lions (1-1) will battle the Arizona Cardinals (1-1). Oddsmakers peg the Lions as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 58%, leaving the Cardinals with a 42% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Lions -3.0 with a Game Total of 51.5.

Detroit's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #2 in the league with 400 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their rushing attack, which is #3-best in football with 5.04 yards per carry. With how successful they've been on the ground, this has opened up opportunities through the air as well; Detroit has averaged 7.35 yards per target, which ranks them #8 in football. This represents a particular advantage for Detroit given that the Cardinals have struggled so much to stop the run this year, allowing 4.8 yards per carry (#4-worst in the league). In terms of their defense, the Lions have ranked #16 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 239 yards per game through the air against them (#7 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #30 with 3.72 yards per carry. Detroit has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to a 65.3% completion rate (#1-lowest). Detroit has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up 168 yards per game (#2-worst).

Arizona's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 350 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #10 spot among the league's worst. Much of their struggle has come in trying to shut down the run game, as they've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #4-most yards per carry: 4.8. That kind of ineffectiveness has also leached over to their pass defense, which has landed them in the #29 spot in terms of yards per target (8.13). This presents a decided disadvantage for Arizona given that the Lions ground game has been so good this year, rushing for 5.04 yards per carry (#3-best in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Cardinals check in at #24 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 204 yards per game (#24 in football). Their run game has ranked #6 with 4.54 yards per attempt on the ground.

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction

Final Score: Detroit Lions 27.97 vs Arizona Cardinals 23.98

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