Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings Pick & Prediction – 10/20/2024

Lions vs Vikings Betting Odds

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions faceoff against Sam Darnold and the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings enter the game as a favorite (-135) as the home team. Minnesota is currently favored by -2.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 50.0.

Minnesota's primary disadvantage has been their pass defense, which has allowed a monstrous 298 yards per game through the air this year, sliding them into the #1 spot among the league's worst. Opposing wide receivers have given the Vikings the most trouble, posting 208 yards per game against this defense (#1-worst in football). Minnesota's defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #2-worst unit in the NFL. This presents a decided disadvantage for Minnesota given that the Lions air attack has been so good this year, passing their way to 8.67 yards per target (#2-best in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Vikings check in at #13 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 234 yards per game (#14 in football). Their run game has ranked #12 with 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground.

Detroit's biggest strength has been their run defense, which ranks #2 in the league while allowing just 3.81 yards per carry this season. That's not to take anything away from their pass defense, though, which checks in at #3 in yards per target (6.56). The Lions safeties have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #4-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Lions have ranked #1 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 263 yards per game (#5 in football). On the ground they've ranked #6 with 5.15 yards per carry.

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction

Final Score: Detroit Lions 27.17 vs Minnesota Vikings 24.66

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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