Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants Best Bet – 9/26/2024

Cowboys vs Giants Betting Odds

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Betting Preview

It was quite the blowout the last time these two teams played. The visiting Cowboys won by double digits, defeating the Giants 49-17 in Week 10 of 2023. They say, good teams win, but great teams cover. The Cowboys not only won, but covered the -17.5 spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 38.5 and which the Over hit.

New York's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 265 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their ground attack, clocking in at #31 in the league with just 3.55 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, New York has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.34 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Giants check in at #32 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 235 yards per game against New York this year (#8 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #2 against them with 4.96 yards per ground attempt. This Giants pass defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 27 yards per game (#7-best in the league). New York's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have caught 89.1% of their passes, #1-highest in the league.

Dallas's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #4 in the league with 359 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #1-best in football with 278 yards per game. It's no wonder they've done so well through the air when their offensive line ranks #6 in the league in pass protection. This represents a particular advantage for Dallas given that the Giants have struggled so much to stop the pass this year, allowing 7.96 yards per target (#8-worst in the league). In terms of their defense, the Cowboys have ranked #7 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 195 yards per game through the air against them (#29 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #9 with 4.57 yards per carry. Dallas has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to a 59.4% completion rate (#3-lowest). Dallas has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 6.29 yards per target (#9-worst).

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Cowboys 23.61 vs New York Giants 20.99

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

Be sure to check out all our free NFL picks here.