Aaron Nesmith projections and prop bets for Indiana Pacers at Detroit Pistons on Oct 23, 2024
Aaron Nesmith Player Prop Bet: Points
Points Prop Bet Odds:
- Points 10.5 over: -103
- Points 10.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop Bet
Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 90th percentile for three-point efficiency with a stellar 40.5% rate since the start of last season.
The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season.
The Indiana Pacers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons).
The matchup against Detroit may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 16 games when the Pistons are playing at home (2nd-most in the league).
Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop Bet
Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.1).
In terms of getting to the foul line, the Pacers's lackluster 19.9 free throws per game places 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
Aaron Nesmith figures to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this game.
Projection For Aaron Nesmith Points Prop Bet
Aaron Nesmith is projected to have 10.8 Points in this weeks game.
Aaron Nesmith Player Prop Bet: Made 3 Point Shots
Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet Odds:
- Made 3 Point Shots 1.5 over: -135
- Made 3 Point Shots 1.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 90th percentile for three-point efficiency with a stellar 40.5% rate since the start of last season.
In terms of threes, the Indiana Pacers's excellent 37.2% rate of drained threes settles in as the 8th-strongest in the league since the start of last season.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season.
The Indiana Pacers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons).
Trends Favoring The Under Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (3.8).
Aaron Nesmith figures to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this game.
Projection For Aaron Nesmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Aaron Nesmith is projected to have 1.4 Made 3 Point Shots in this weeks game.
